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✓ Ketlen Souza won · by TKO · R1
women's strawweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
Jun 6, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Ketlen Souza
#28 4-3-0
Elo 1464
VS
Corner B
Ariane Carnelossi
#42 2-4-0
Elo 1407
Final result · recorded Jun 6, 2026
Ketlen Souza
defeated Ariane Carnelossi by TKO in round 1

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Ketlen Souza 74.5% · Ariane Carnelossi 25.5%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Ketlen Souza 53.3% · Ariane Carnelossi 46.7%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 10
Belal Muhammad vs Gabriel Bonfim Main event · welterweight Brendan Allen vs Edmen Shahbazyan middleweight Fares Ziam vs Tom Nolan lightweight Bryce Mitchell vs Santiago Luna bantamweight Iwo Baraniewski vs Junior Tafa light heavyweight Matt Schnell vs Alessandro Costa catch weight Marcus McGhee vs John Yannis bantamweight Bruno Silva vs Edgar Chairez flyweight Priscila Cachoeira vs Chelsea Chandler women's bantamweight Jordan Leavitt vs Joanderson Brito featherweight

Tale of the tape

4-3-0 UFC record 2-4-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 1
+2 Streak -3
31 Age 33
5'3" 160 cm Height 5'2" 157 cm
63" 160 cm Reach 61" 155 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1514 Global Elo 1457
1464 Elo rating 1407
Ketlen Souza — Notable ▼
At a glance
Ariane Carnelossi — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • 100% of wins by KO or submission

Ketlen Souza — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 273 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
55% Head
  • Head 55%
  • Body 27%
  • Leg 18%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
85% Distance
  • Distance 85%
  • Clinch 14%
  • Ground 1%

Ariane Carnelossi — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 174 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
65% Head
  • Head 65%
  • Body 14%
  • Leg 21%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
76% Distance
  • Distance 76%
  • Clinch 15%
  • Ground 9%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.11
2.78
div avg 4.21
57%
39%
div avg 48%
3.89
4.67
div avg 3.59
53%
43%
div avg 55%
0.45
1.20
div avg 1.94
13%
50%
div avg 46%
54%
20%
div avg 66%
0.23
0.24
div avg 0.55
3
3
div avg 4

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Ketlen Souza
50% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 1
can finish?
Ariane Carnelossi
finished 75%
3 of 4 losses
Ariane Carnelossi
100% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 1
can finish?
Ketlen Souza
finished 33%
1 of 3 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1514 (Ketlen Souza) vs 1507 (Ariane Carnelossi).

Ketlen Souza red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1514
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win
Yazmin Jauregui
Elo 1543 at fight time
Expected wins
3.4
+0.6 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 7 fights
1534
1474
Ariane Carnelossi blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1507
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Liang Na
Elo 1500 at fight time
Expected wins
3.0
−1.0 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 6 fights
1448
1497

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • L
    Angela Hill
    L
    Decision - Split
    TKO - Doctor's Stoppage
    Feb 15, 2025
    Sep 21, 2019
Corner A recent form
Ketlen Souza
Corner B recent form
Ariane Carnelossi
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Ketlen Souza & Ariane Carnelossi on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.