HonestElo
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Curtis Millender

Inactive · Orthodox · 188 cm · reach 193 cm
Elo rating
1545 ±40
LCB 1493
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-2-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d +6 · Δ1y +6
Last fight
Apr 13, 2019
L by Decision

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Feb 18, 2018 — W vs Thiago Alves Δ+43Jul 7, 2018 — W vs Max Griffin Δ+27Dec 29, 2018 — W vs Siyar Bahadurzada Δ+29Mar 9, 2019 — L vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Δ-31Apr 13, 2019 — L vs Belal Muhammad Δ-29 14991534156916041640 2019 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":169.2,"elo":1543,"date":"2018-02-18","opp":"Thiago Alves","result":"W","delta":43},{"i":1,"x":306.6,"y":128.1,"elo":1571,"date":"2018-07-07","opp":"Max Griffin","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":662.5,"y":84.4,"elo":1600,"date":"2018-12-29","opp":"Siyar Bahadurzada","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":804.8,"y":131.3,"elo":1569,"date":"2019-03-09","opp":"Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":175.6,"elo":1539,"date":"2019-04-13","opp":"Belal Muhammad","result":"L","delta":-29}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 13, 2019 Belal Muhammad L -29
Mar 9, 2019 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos L -31
Dec 29, 2018 Siyar Bahadurzada W +29
Jul 7, 2018 Max Griffin W +27
Feb 18, 2018 Thiago Alves W +43

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.70 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
48% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.83 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
62% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.25 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
100% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
53% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
0 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1578
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.4
actual +1 vs expected