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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Notable

Sola

Has never been finished — the only loss went to the scorecards.

Tale of the tape

8-3-0 UFC record 2-1-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 1
-1 Streak +1
29 Age 28
6'1" 185 cm Height 6'0" 183 cm
75" 191 cm Reach 74" 188 cm
Orthodox Stance Southpaw
1596 Global Elo 1531
1552 Elo rating 1484
Fares Ziam — Notable
At a glance
Axel Sola — Notable
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 100% of wins by KO or submission
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1

Fares Ziam — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 389 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
66% Head
  • Head 66%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 16%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
70% Distance
  • Distance 70%
  • Clinch 13%
  • Ground 18%

Axel Sola — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 143 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
84% Head
  • Head 84%
  • Body 16%
  • Leg 0%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
69% Distance
  • Distance 69%
  • Clinch 24%
  • Ground 7%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

2.68
4.50
div avg 4.53
52%
50%
div avg 51%
1.58
4.53
div avg 3.76
64%
61%
div avg 53%
1.86
1.89
div avg 1.86
43%
36%
div avg 37%
71%
67%
div avg 72%
0.52
0.47
div avg 0.65
4
4
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Fares Ziam
25% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 0
can finish?
Axel Sola
finished 0%
never finished
Axel Sola
100% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 1
can finish?
Fares Ziam
finished 33%
1 of 3 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Fares Ziam has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1581 vs 1488, 1 quality wins to 0.

Fares Ziam red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1581
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win
Nazim Sadykhov
Elo 1612 at fight time
Expected wins
5.5
+2.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 11 fights
1533
1584
Axel Sola blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1488
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Ismael Bonfim
Elo 1488 at fight time
Expected wins
1.6
+0.4 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1435
1488
Corner A recent form
Fares Ziam
Corner B recent form
Axel Sola
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Fares Ziam & Axel Sola on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.