HonestElo
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Mike Davis

Active #25 lightweight · Orthodox · 183 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1588 ±32
LCB 1546
Rank
#25
top 24% of division
UFC record
5-2-0
KO 2 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
+1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +13
Last fight
Jul 12, 2025
W by KO

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Apr 27, 2019 — L vs Gilbert Burns Δ-24Oct 12, 2019 — W vs Thomas Gifford Δ+33Jan 20, 2021 — W vs Mason Jones Δ+28Oct 1, 2022 — W vs Viacheslav Borshchev Δ+26Mar 16, 2024 — W vs Natan Levy Δ+29Feb 1, 2025 — L vs Fares Ziam Δ-17Jul 12, 2025 — W vs Mitch Ramirez Δ+13 14361485153415831632 202020212022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":192.7,"elo":1476,"date":"2019-04-27","opp":"Gilbert Burns","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":1,"x":87.1,"y":157.1,"elo":1509,"date":"2019-10-12","opp":"Thomas Gifford","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":262.2,"y":126.8,"elo":1537,"date":"2021-01-20","opp":"Mason Jones","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":494.7,"y":99,"elo":1562,"date":"2022-10-01","opp":"Viacheslav Borshchev","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":4,"x":694.6,"y":67.3,"elo":1592,"date":"2024-03-16","opp":"Natan Levy","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":5,"x":815.5,"y":85.3,"elo":1575,"date":"2025-02-01","opp":"Fares Ziam","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":71.2,"elo":1588,"date":"2025-07-12","opp":"Mitch Ramirez","result":"W","delta":13}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 12, 2025 Mitch Ramirez W +13
Feb 1, 2025 Fares Ziam L -17
Mar 16, 2024 Natan Levy W +29
Oct 1, 2022 Viacheslav Borshchev W +26
Jan 20, 2021 Mason Jones W +28

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.39 avg 4.04
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
54% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.57 avg 3.35
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.67 avg 1.57
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
50% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
59% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.83 avg 0.51
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
60%
3 / 5
Finish rate
KO
2
40% of wins
SUB
1
20% of wins
DEC
2
40% of wins
KO: 2 (40%) 2 Sub: 1 (20%) 1 Dec: 2 (40%) 2
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
R2
2 67%
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1514
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.7
actual +1 vs expected