Other bouts 13
- 1Not linkedlightweight MainDan HookervsSalahdine Parnasse
- 2middleweightMichael PagevsNursulton Ruziboev
- 10featherweightLosene KeitavsMuhammad Naimov
- 12Not linkedwomen's strawweightDelphine BenouaichvsSofia Montenegro
- 23light heavyweightOumar SyvsModestas Bukauskas
- 27featherweightKurtis CampbellvsTrevor Peek
- 28Not linkedmiddleweightMatthieu DuclosvsLuis Felipe Dias
- 29women's bantamweightNora CornollevsKlaudia Sygula
- 33featherweightNathaniel WoodvsMairon Santos
- 34featherweightMorgan CharrierevsFelipe Lima
- 35lightweightFares ZiamvsAxel Sola
- 36welterweightPunahele SorianovsDaniil Donchenko
- 37Not linkedflyweightFabia SintesvsMichael Aljarouj
Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
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Other fights on this card · 9
Notable
Finishes 80% of wins (4 KO · 4 SUB; 60% of wins end in round 1).
Tale of the tape
| 3-0-0 | UFC record | 10-6-0 |
| KO 2 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 4 · Sub 4 |
| +3 | Streak | +2 |
| 28 | Age | 34 |
| 6'5" 196 cm | Height | 6'5" 196 cm |
| 79" 201 cm | Reach | 79" 201 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1590 | Global Elo | 1583 |
| 1564 | Elo rating | 1532 |
Mario Pinto — Notable ▼
- 3-fight UFC win streak — still undefeated
- Top 5 · heavyweightLowest Strikes Absorbed
- 1Jailton Almeida1.32
- 2Mario Pinto1.81
- 3Louie Sutherland1.95
- 4Alexandr Romanov2.13
- 5Marcus Buchecha2.15
- Top 5 · heavyweightTakedown Defense
- 1Tom Aspinall100%
- 2Mario Pinto100%
- 3Valter Walker100%
- 4Steven Asplund100%
- 5Hamdy Abdelwahab100%
- 67% of wins by KO/TKO
Ryan Spann — Notable ▼
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- 80% of wins by KO or submission
- Top 5 · heavyweightSubmission Attempts per 15 Min
- 1Valter Walker3.59
- 2Jailton Almeida1.64
- 3Ryan Spann1.52
- 4Tom Aspinall1.31
- 5Mario Pinto1.01
Mario Pinto — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 76 landed total · career
- Head 80%
- Body 11%
- Leg 9%
- Distance 45%
- Clinch 18%
- Ground 37%
Ryan Spann — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 304 landed total · career
- Head 75%
- Body 18%
- Leg 6%
- Distance 72%
- Clinch 7%
- Ground 21%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Brando Pericic11.00
- 2Josh Hokit10.28
- 3Steven Asplund7.65
- 4Tom Aspinall7.63
- 5Ciryl Gane5.40
- 1Louie Sutherland69%
- 2Tom Aspinall68%
- 3Tallison Teixeira67%
- 4Mario Pinto67%
- 5Josh Hokit64%
- 1Jailton Almeida1.32
- 2Mario Pinto1.81
- 3Louie Sutherland1.95
- 4Alexandr Romanov2.13
- 5Marcus Buchecha2.15
- 1Ciryl Gane61%
- 2Mick Parkin60%
- 3Jhonata Diniz58%
- 4Brando Pericic58%
- 5Mario Pinto58%
- 1Jailton Almeida5.57
- 2Valter Walker5.39
- 3Curtis Blaydes5.12
- 4Louie Sutherland4.49
- 5Alexandr Romanov4.49
- 1Tom Aspinall80%
- 2Valter Walker69%
- 3Hamdy Abdelwahab65%
- 4Alexander Volkov63%
- 5Serghei Spivac59%
- 1Tom Aspinall100%
- 2Mario Pinto100%
- 3Valter Walker100%
- 4Steven Asplund100%
- 5Hamdy Abdelwahab100%
- 1Valter Walker3.59
- 2Jailton Almeida1.64
- 3Ryan Spann1.52
- 4Tom Aspinall1.31
- 5Mario Pinto1.01
- 1Jailton Almeida10.49
- 2Louie Sutherland9.43
- 3Valter Walker7.97
- 4Alexandr Romanov7.32
- 5Mario Pinto7.05
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1511 (Mario Pinto) vs 1511 (Ryan Spann).
- Mar 21, 2026
- Oct 11, 2025
- Mar 1, 2025
- Apr 25, 2026
- Jul 19, 2025
- Mar 15, 2025
- Oct 5, 2024
- Apr 27, 2024