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✓ Mario Pinto won · by TKO · R2

Mario Pinto vs Ryan Spann — Honest Elo matchup

heavyweight
Other bouts 13
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Parnasse vs. Hooker
Sep 5, 2026 · Paris, Ile-de-France, France
View full event card
Final result · recorded Sep 5, 2026
Mario Pinto
defeated Ryan Spann by TKO in round 2

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Mario Pinto 74.7% · Ryan Spann 25.3%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Mario Pinto 51.0% · Ryan Spann 49.0%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

Notable

Spann

Finishes 80% of wins (4 KO · 4 SUB; 60% of wins end in round 1).

Tale of the tape

4-0-0 UFC record 10-7-0
KO 3 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 4 · Sub 4
+4 Streak -1
28 Age 35
6'5" 196 cm Height 6'5" 196 cm
79" 201 cm Reach 79" 201 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1622 Global Elo 1565
1596 Elo rating 1520
Mario Pinto — Notable ▼
At a glance
Ryan Spann — Notable ▼
At a glance

Mario Pinto — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 124 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
87% Head
  • Head 87%
  • Body 7%
  • Leg 6%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
48% Ground
  • Distance 35%
  • Clinch 16%
  • Ground 48%

Ryan Spann — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 317 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
75% Head
  • Head 75%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 6%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
71% Distance
  • Distance 71%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 20%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.47
3.03
div avg 4.48
69%
39%
div avg 53%
1.88
4.09
div avg 3.40
59%
42%
div avg 51%
4.62
1.15
div avg 1.90
42%
33%
div avg 42%
100%
50%
div avg 72%
0.84
1.58
div avg 0.83
7
3
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Mario Pinto
75% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 0
can finish?
Ryan Spann
finished 86%
6 of 7 losses
Ryan Spann
80% finish rate
KO 4 · Sub 4
can finish?
Mario Pinto
finished —
no losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1529 (Mario Pinto) vs 1529 (Ryan Spann).

Mario Pinto red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1529
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win
Ryan Spann
Elo 1583 at fight time
Expected wins
2.1
+1.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights
1471
1583
Ryan Spann blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1529
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win
Dominick Reyes
Elo 1605 at fight time
Expected wins
9.1
+0.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 17 fights
1471
1590
Corner A recent form
Mario Pinto
Corner B recent form
Ryan Spann
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Mario Pinto & Ryan Spann on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.