Other bouts 13
- 1Not linkedlightweight MainDan HookervsSalahdine Parnasse
- 2middleweightMichael PagevsNursulton Ruziboev
- 10featherweightLosene KeitavsMuhammad Naimov
- 12Not linkedwomen's strawweightDelphine BenouaichvsSofia Montenegro
- 22heavyweightMario PintovsRyan Spann
- 23light heavyweightOumar SyvsModestas Bukauskas
- 27featherweightKurtis CampbellvsTrevor Peek
- 28Not linkedmiddleweightMatthieu DuclosvsLuis Felipe Dias
- 29women's bantamweightNora CornollevsKlaudia Sygula
- 33featherweightNathaniel WoodvsMairon Santos
- 35lightweightFares ZiamvsAxel Sola
- 36welterweightPunahele SorianovsDaniil Donchenko
- 37Not linkedflyweightFabia SintesvsMichael Aljarouj
Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
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Other fights on this card · 9
Notable
Cross-division matchup: the model gives Charriere +46 Elo for a ~10 lb representative gap. Toggle it off to compare pure skill.
Has never been finished — the only loss went to the scorecards.
Both enter off a loss (Dec 2025 / Jun 2025).
Tale of the tape
| 3-3-0 | UFC record | 2-1-0 |
| KO 3 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 0 · Sub 1 |
| -1 | Streak | -1 |
| 30 | Age | 28 |
| 5'8" 173 cm | Height | 5'6" 168 cm |
| 69" 175 cm | Reach | 68" 173 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1534 | Global Elo | 1543 |
| 1486 | Elo rating | 1485 |
Morgan Charriere — Notable ▼
- Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
- 100% of wins by KO/TKO
- 33% of wins finished in round 1
Felipe Lima — Notable ▼
- Has never been finished — durability signal
- 50% of wins by submission
- 86% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Morgan Charriere — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 205 landed total · career
- Head 60%
- Body 24%
- Leg 16%
- Distance 89%
- Clinch 6%
- Ground 5%
Felipe Lima — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 118 landed total · career
- Head 59%
- Body 23%
- Leg 18%
- Distance 88%
- Clinch 10%
- Ground 2%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Hyder Amil7.28
- 2Michael Aswell Jr.6.72
- 3Luke Riley6.67
- 4Fernando Padilla6.07
- 5Julian Erosa6.06
- 1Erik Silva67%
- 2Isaac Dulgarian64%
- 3Gabriel Santos61%
- 4Jack Jenkins60%
- 5Kai Kamaka Iii59%
- 1Yadier Del Valle0.90
- 2Pat Sabatini1.16
- 3Jordan Leavitt1.63
- 4Isaac Dulgarian1.65
- 5Erik Silva1.66
- 1Miles Johns67%
- 2Mairon Santos66%
- 3Yadier Del Valle66%
- 4Youssef Zalal65%
- 5Steve Garcia63%
- 1Bogdan Grad5.33
- 2Jonathan Pearce5.02
- 3Movsar Evloev4.78
- 4Gabriel Miranda4.75
- 5Isaac Dulgarian4.57
- 1Yadier Del Valle100%
- 2Gaston Bolanos75%
- 3Erik Silva75%
- 4Jean Silva71%
- 5Joanderson Brito67%
- 1Fernando Padilla100%
- 2Jose Aldo92%
- 3Kevin Vallejos90%
- 4Gabriel Santos88%
- 5Sean Woodson87%
- 1Westin Wilson7.87
- 2Yadier Del Valle2.71
- 3Gabriel Miranda1.90
- 4Isaac Dulgarian1.83
- 5Herbert Burns1.57
- 1Pat Sabatini10.65
- 2Isaac Dulgarian10.58
- 3Jonathan Pearce6.86
- 4Bogdan Grad6.76
- 5Jordan Leavitt5.97
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1558 (Morgan Charriere) vs 1572 (Felipe Lima).
- Dec 13, 2025
- Jul 12, 2025
- Mar 22, 2025
- Sep 28, 2024
- Apr 6, 2024
- Jun 28, 2025
- Dec 14, 2024
- Jun 22, 2024