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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Notable

Size

Cross-division matchup: the model gives Peek +43 Elo for a ~10 lb representative gap. Toggle it off to compare pure skill.

Peek

Has never been finished — all 3 losses went to the scorecards.

Form

Both enter off a loss (Mar 2026 / Sep 2024).

Peek

Hasn't fought since Sep 2024.

Campbell

Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.

Tale of the tape

0-1-0 UFC record 2-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 0
-1 Streak -2
24 Age 31
5'9" 175 cm Height 5'9" 175 cm
72" 183 cm Reach 70" 178 cm
Switch Stance Switch
1511 Global Elo 1479
1485 Elo rating 1429
Kurtis Campbell — Notable
Trevor Peek — Notable
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 50% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1

Kurtis Campbell — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 17 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
71% Head
  • Head 71%
  • Body 12%
  • Leg 18%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
88% Distance
  • Distance 88%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 0%

Trevor Peek — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 265 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
59% Head
  • Head 59%
  • Body 27%
  • Leg 14%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
78% Distance
  • Distance 78%
  • Clinch 17%
  • Ground 5%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.08
4.08
div avg 4.36
41%
52%
div avg 49%
2.90
3.34
div avg 3.45
50%
46%
div avg 57%
5.44
1.38
div avg 1.47
40%
50%
div avg 41%
0%
53%
div avg 65%
0.00
0.00
div avg 0.45
5
2
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Kurtis Campbell
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Trevor Peek
finished 0%
never finished
Trevor Peek
50% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Kurtis Campbell
finished 100%
1 of 1 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Kurtis Campbell has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1528 vs 1496, 0 quality wins to 0.

Kurtis Campbell red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1528
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 0 UFC wins
Toughest win
Expected wins
0.5
−0.5 below schedule
Trevor Peek blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1496
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Mohammad Yahya
Elo 1500 at fight time
Expected wins
2.6
−0.6 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 5 fights
1446
1504
Corner A recent form
Kurtis Campbell
Corner B recent form
Trevor Peek
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Kurtis Campbell & Trevor Peek on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.