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✓ Daniil Donchenko won · by Decision · R3

Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano — Honest Elo matchup

welterweight
Other bouts 13
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Parnasse vs. Hooker
Sep 5, 2026 · Paris, Ile-de-France, France
View full event card
Corner A
Daniil Donchenko
#16 4-0-0
Elo 1597
VS
Corner B
Punahele Soriano
#46 7-5-0
Elo 1496
Final result · recorded Sep 5, 2026
Daniil Donchenko
defeated Punahele Soriano by Decision in round 3

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Daniil Donchenko 71.4% · Punahele Soriano 28.6%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Daniil Donchenko 55.4% · Punahele Soriano 44.6%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 8
Fares Ziam vs Axel Sola lightweight Michael Page vs Nursulton Ruziboev middleweight Morgan Charriere vs Felipe Lima featherweight Losene Keita vs Muhammad Naimov featherweight Mario Pinto vs Ryan Spann heavyweight Kurtis Campbell vs Trevor Peek featherweight Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas light heavyweight Nora Cornolle vs Klaudia Sygula women's bantamweight

Tale of the tape

4-0-0 UFC record 7-5-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 4 · Sub 0
+4 Streak -1
25 Age 33
5'11" 180 cm Height 5'11" 180 cm
71" 180 cm Reach 72" 183 cm
Orthodox Stance Southpaw
1623 Global Elo 1545
1597 Elo rating 1496
Daniil Donchenko — Notable ▼
At a glance
Punahele Soriano — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 57% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 43% of wins finished in round 1

Daniil Donchenko — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 293 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
46% Head
  • Head 46%
  • Body 26%
  • Leg 28%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
78% Distance
  • Distance 78%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 10%

Punahele Soriano — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 505 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
79% Head
  • Head 79%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 2%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
46% Distance
  • Distance 46%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 45%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

7.14
4.15
div avg 4.36
62%
53%
div avg 50%
2.14
3.69
div avg 3.18
73%
46%
div avg 56%
0.37
2.10
div avg 1.85
25%
45%
div avg 44%
67%
50%
div avg 70%
0.00
0.25
div avg 0.45
2
4
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Daniil Donchenko
50% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 0
can finish?
Punahele Soriano
finished 40%
2 of 5 losses
Punahele Soriano
57% finish rate
KO 4 · Sub 0
can finish?
Daniil Donchenko
finished —
no losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1526 (Daniil Donchenko) vs 1535 (Punahele Soriano).

Daniil Donchenko red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1526
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win
Punahele Soriano
Elo 1559 at fight time
Expected wins
2.1
+1.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights
1500
1559
Punahele Soriano blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1535
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win
Uros Medic
Elo 1550 at fight time
Expected wins
6.2
+0.8 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 12 fights
1489
1597
Corner A recent form
Daniil Donchenko
Corner B recent form
Punahele Soriano
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Daniil Donchenko & Punahele Soriano on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.