HonestElo
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Brad Riddell

Inactive · Orthodox · 170 cm · reach 180 cm
Elo rating
1542 ±37
LCB 1494
Rank
—
—
UFC record
4-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 4
Streak
-3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y 0
Last fight
Nov 12, 2022
L by Submission

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Oct 5, 2019 — W vs Jamie Mullarkey Δ+29Feb 22, 2020 — W vs Magomed Mustafaev Δ+32Sep 26, 2020 — W vs Alex Da Silva Δ+24Jun 12, 2021 — W vs Drew Dober Δ+28Dec 4, 2021 — L vs Rafael Fiziev Δ-34Jul 2, 2022 — L vs Jalin Turner Δ-18Nov 12, 2022 — L vs Renato Moicano Δ-17 14891530157016111652 202020212022 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":183.9,"elo":1529,"date":"2019-10-05","opp":"Jamie Mullarkey","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":129.2,"y":142.7,"elo":1561,"date":"2020-02-22","opp":"Magomed Mustafaev","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":2,"x":292.2,"y":111.8,"elo":1584,"date":"2020-09-26","opp":"Alex Da Silva","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":3,"x":486.8,"y":76.1,"elo":1612,"date":"2021-06-12","opp":"Drew Dober","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":4,"x":618.3,"y":120.8,"elo":1577,"date":"2021-12-04","opp":"Rafael Fiziev","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":5,"x":776.1,"y":144.8,"elo":1559,"date":"2022-07-02","opp":"Jalin Turner","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":166.6,"elo":1542,"date":"2022-11-12","opp":"Renato Moicano","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 12, 2022 Renato Moicano L -17
Jul 2, 2022 Jalin Turner L -18
Dec 4, 2021 Rafael Fiziev L -34
Jun 12, 2021 Drew Dober W +28
Sep 26, 2020 Alex Da Silva W +24

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.24 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
54% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.18 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.59 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
36% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
63% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 4
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
4
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 4 (100%) 4

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1566
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.5
actual 0 vs expected