HonestElo
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Tom Niinimaki

Inactive · Orthodox · 175 cm · reach 175 cm
Elo rating
1459 ±40
LCB 1407
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-3
Δ90d +26 · Δ1y +26
Last fight
Dec 20, 2014
L by Submission

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Nov 30, 2013 — W vs Rani Yahya Δ+35May 31, 2014 — L vs Niklas Backstrom Δ-36Aug 23, 2014 — L vs Chas Skelly Δ-36Dec 20, 2014 — L vs Renato Moicano Δ-30 13931438148415291575 2014 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":70.7,"elo":1535,"date":"2013-11-30","opp":"Rani Yahya","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":1,"x":426.8,"y":113.1,"elo":1498,"date":"2014-05-31","opp":"Niklas Backstrom","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":2,"x":612.7,"y":154.8,"elo":1463,"date":"2014-08-23","opp":"Chas Skelly","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":189.3,"elo":1433,"date":"2014-12-20","opp":"Renato Moicano","result":"L","delta":-30}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 20, 2014 Renato Moicano L -30
Aug 23, 2014 Chas Skelly L -36
May 31, 2014 Niklas Backstrom L -36
Nov 30, 2013 Rani Yahya W +35

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.66 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
55% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.00 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
58% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.57 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
46% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
33% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.43 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1511
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.9
actual -1 vs expected