HonestElo
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Curt Warburton

Inactive · Orthodox · 183 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1496 ±36
LCB 1449
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-1
Δ90d +15 · Δ1y +15
Last fight
Jun 26, 2011
L by Submission

Elo history

3 fights · tap & drag
Oct 16, 2010 — L vs Spencer Fisher Δ-23Feb 26, 2011 — W vs Maciej Jewtuszko Δ+31Jun 26, 2011 — L vs Joe Lauzon Δ-26 14371464149215201547 2011 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":159.4,"elo":1477,"date":"2010-10-16","opp":"Spencer Fisher","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":1,"x":471.9,"y":100.6,"elo":1507,"date":"2011-02-26","opp":"Maciej Jewtuszko","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":876,"y":150.6,"elo":1481,"date":"2011-06-26","opp":"Joe Lauzon","result":"L","delta":-26}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 26, 2011 Joe Lauzon L -26
Feb 26, 2011 Maciej Jewtuszko W +31
Oct 16, 2010 Spencer Fisher L -23

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.94 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
42% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.14 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
43% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.14 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
50% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
83% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.86 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
7 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1549
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.3
actual 0 vs expected