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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Tale of the tape

7-5-0 UFC record 5-1-0
KO 3 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 4 · Sub 1
-1 Streak +2
33 Age 31
5'8" 173 cm Height 5'10" 178 cm
71" 180 cm Reach 73" 185 cm
Switch Stance Switch
1585 Global Elo 1615
1534 Elo rating 1575
Rafael Fiziev — Notable
At a glance
Manuel Torres — Notable
At a glance

Rafael Fiziev — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 681 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
43% Head
  • Head 43%
  • Body 40%
  • Leg 17%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
88% Distance
  • Distance 88%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 2%

Manuel Torres — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 102 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
66% Head
  • Head 66%
  • Body 28%
  • Leg 6%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
68% Distance
  • Distance 68%
  • Clinch 14%
  • Ground 19%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.71
6.69
div avg 4.65
53%
60%
div avg 51%
4.84
4.33
div avg 3.84
50%
51%
div avg 54%
0.83
1.97
div avg 1.84
67%
67%
div avg 38%
90%
90%
div avg 72%
0.00
0.98
div avg 0.62
1
2
div avg 4

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Rafael Fiziev
43% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 0
can finish?
Manuel Torres
finished 100%
1 of 1 losses
Manuel Torres
100% finish rate
KO 4 · Sub 1
can finish?
Rafael Fiziev
finished 60%
3 of 5 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Rafael Fiziev has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1609 vs 1578, 2 quality wins to 1.

Rafael Fiziev red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1609
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win
Rafael Dos Anjos
Elo 1669 at fight time
Expected wins
5.7
+1.3 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 12 fights
1535
1559
Manuel Torres blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1578
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win
Grant Dawson
Elo 1700 at fight time
Expected wins
3.0
+2.0 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 6 fights
1461
1700
Notable wins

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

Corner A recent form
Rafael Fiziev
Corner B recent form
Manuel Torres
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Rafael Fiziev & Manuel Torres on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.