Other bouts 12
- 1lightweight MainRafael FizievvsManuel Torres
- 2middleweightShara MagomedovvsMichel Pereira
- 3lightweightNazim SadykhovvsMatheus Camilo
- 4flyweightAsu AlmabayevvsCharles Johnson
- 5middleweightIkram AliskerovvsBrunno Ferreira
- 6middleweightAbus MagomedovvsMichal Oleksiejczuk
- 7Not linkedwelterweightFarman HasanovvsEric Nolan
- 8light heavyweightAbdul Rakhman YakhyaevvsJulius Walker
- 9middleweightNursulton RuziboevvsAndrey Pulyaev
- 11Not linkedwelterweightDaniil DonchenkovsTheodor Berggren
- 12bantamweightBekzat AlmakhanvsJean Matsumoto
- 13Not linkedwelterweightTahir AbdullayevvsJefferson Nascimento
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Kaan Ofli 50.0% · Javier Reyes 50.0%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Kaan Ofli 46.2% · Javier Reyes 53.8%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 9
Notable
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Reach advantage of ~7".
Tale of the tape
| 3-2-0 | UFC record | 1-1-0 |
| KO 0 · Sub 2 | Finishes | KO 1 · Sub 0 |
| +3 | Streak | -1 |
| 33 | Age | 32 |
| 5'7" 170 cm | Height | 5'7" 170 cm |
| 66" 168 cm | Reach | 73" 185 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | — |
| 1544 | Global Elo | 1511 |
| 1488 | Elo rating | 1450 |
Kaan Ofli — Notable ▼
- 3-fight UFC win streak
- 67% of wins by submission
- 67% of wins finished in round 1
Javier Reyes — Notable ▼
- 100% of wins by KO/TKO
- 100% of wins finished in round 1
Kaan Ofli — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 109 landed total · career
- Head 42%
- Body 37%
- Leg 21%
- Distance 71%
- Clinch 23%
- Ground 6%
Javier Reyes — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 53 landed total · career
- Head 85%
- Body 11%
- Leg 4%
- Distance 30%
- Clinch 0%
- Ground 70%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Hyder Amil7.28
- 2Michael Aswell Jr.6.72
- 3Luke Riley6.67
- 4Fernando Padilla6.07
- 5Julian Erosa6.06
- 1Erik Silva67%
- 2Isaac Dulgarian64%
- 3Gabriel Santos61%
- 4Jack Jenkins60%
- 5Kai Kamaka Iii59%
- 1Yadier Del Valle0.90
- 2Pat Sabatini1.16
- 3Jordan Leavitt1.63
- 4Isaac Dulgarian1.65
- 5Erik Silva1.66
- 1Miles Johns67%
- 2Mairon Santos66%
- 3Yadier Del Valle66%
- 4Youssef Zalal65%
- 5Steve Garcia63%
- 1Bogdan Grad5.33
- 2Jonathan Pearce5.02
- 3Movsar Evloev4.78
- 4Gabriel Miranda4.75
- 5Isaac Dulgarian4.57
- 1Yadier Del Valle100%
- 2Gaston Bolanos75%
- 3Erik Silva75%
- 4Jean Silva71%
- 5Joanderson Brito67%
- 1Fernando Padilla100%
- 2Jose Aldo92%
- 3Kevin Vallejos90%
- 4Gabriel Santos88%
- 5Sean Woodson87%
- 1Westin Wilson7.87
- 2Yadier Del Valle2.71
- 3Gabriel Miranda1.90
- 4Isaac Dulgarian1.83
- 5Herbert Burns1.57
- 1Pat Sabatini10.65
- 2Isaac Dulgarian10.58
- 3Jonathan Pearce6.86
- 4Bogdan Grad6.76
- 5Jordan Leavitt5.97
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1520 (Kaan Ofli) vs 1524 (Javier Reyes).
- Jun 27, 2026
- Jan 31, 2026
- Oct 11, 2025
- Feb 1, 2025
- Aug 24, 2024
- Jun 27, 2026
- Feb 28, 2026