HonestElo
← Back to event card
featherweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
Jun 27, 2026 · Baku, Azerbaijan
View full event card
Corner A
Kaan Ofli
#55 2-2-0
Elo 1453
VS
Corner B
Javier Reyes
1-0-0
Elo 1508

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Kaan Ofli 50.0%
Corner B Javier Reyes 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Independent UFC analytics

Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.

Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.

Follow @HonestElo Next card →
Other fights on this card · 9
Rafael Fiziev vs Manuel Torres Main event · lightweight Shara Magomedov vs Michel Pereira middleweight Nazim Sadykhov vs Matheus Camilo lightweight Asu Almabayev vs Charles Johnson flyweight Ikram Aliskerov vs Brunno Ferreira middleweight Abus Magomedov vs Michal Oleksiejczuk middleweight Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Julius Walker light heavyweight Nursulton Ruziboev vs Andrey Pulyaev middleweight Bekzat Almakhan vs Jean Matsumoto bantamweight

Tale of the tape

2-2-0 UFC record 1-0-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 0
+2 Streak +1
33 Age 32
5'7" 170 cm Height 5'7" 170 cm
66" 168 cm Reach 73" 185 cm
Orthodox Stance —
1508 Global Elo 1534
1453 Elo rating 1508
Kaan Ofli — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 50% of wins by submission
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1
Javier Reyes — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 100% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 100% of wins finished in round 1

Kaan Ofli — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 92 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
40% Head
  • Head 40%
  • Body 39%
  • Leg 21%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
70% Distance
  • Distance 70%
  • Clinch 27%
  • Ground 3%

Javier Reyes — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 46 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
91% Head
  • Head 91%
  • Body 9%
  • Leg 0%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
80% Ground
  • Distance 20%
  • Clinch 0%
  • Ground 80%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

2.33
9.23
div avg 4.31
46%
61%
div avg 48%
3.34
3.41
div avg 3.46
54%
37%
div avg 56%
0.38
3.01
div avg 1.56
7%
50%
div avg 41%
0%
—
div avg 65%
0.38
0.00
div avg 0.48
4
6
div avg 3

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Kaan Ofli
50% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 1
can finish?
Javier Reyes
finished —
no losses
Javier Reyes
100% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Kaan Ofli
finished 50%
1 of 2 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Javier Reyes has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1541 vs 1515, 0 quality wins to 0.

Kaan Ofli red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1515
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Ricardo Ramos
Elo 1538 at fight time
Expected wins
1.7
+0.3 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights
1500
1471
Javier Reyes blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1541
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Elo 1541 at fight time
Expected wins
0.4
+0.6 above schedule
Corner A recent form
Kaan Ofli
Corner B recent form
Javier Reyes
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Kaan Ofli & Javier Reyes on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.