Kaan Ofli vs Javier Reyes — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 12
- 1lightweight MainRafael FizievvsManuel Torres
- 2middleweightShara MagomedovvsMichel Pereira
- 3lightweightNazim SadykhovvsMatheus Camilo
- 4flyweightAsu AlmabayevvsCharles Johnson
- 5middleweightIkram AliskerovvsBrunno Ferreira
- 6middleweightAbus MagomedovvsMichal Oleksiejczuk
- 7Not linkedwelterweightFarman HasanovvsEric Nolan
- 8light heavyweightAbdul Rakhman YakhyaevvsJulius Walker
- 9middleweightNursulton RuziboevvsAndrey Pulyaev
- 11Not linkedwelterweightDaniil DonchenkovsTheodor Berggren
- 12bantamweightBekzat AlmakhanvsJean Matsumoto
- 13Not linkedwelterweightTahir AbdullayevvsJefferson Nascimento
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Kaan Ofli 50.0% · Javier Reyes 50.0%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Kaan Ofli 46.2% · Javier Reyes 53.8%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 9
Notable
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Reach advantage of ~7".
Tale of the tape
| 3-2-0 | UFC record | 1-1-0 |
| KO 0 · Sub 2 | Finishes | KO 1 · Sub 0 |
| +3 | Streak | -1 |
| 33 | Age | 33 |
| 5'7" 170 cm | Height | 5'7" 170 cm |
| 66" 168 cm | Reach | 73" 185 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | — |
| 1544 | Global Elo | 1512 |
| 1488 | Elo rating | 1451 |
Kaan Ofli — Notable ▼
- 3-fight UFC win streak
- 67% of wins by submission
- 67% of wins finished in round 1
Javier Reyes — Notable ▼
- 100% of wins by KO/TKO
- 100% of wins finished in round 1
Kaan Ofli — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 109 landed total · career
- Head 42%
- Body 37%
- Leg 21%
- Distance 71%
- Clinch 23%
- Ground 6%
Javier Reyes — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 53 landed total · career
- Head 85%
- Body 11%
- Leg 4%
- Distance 30%
- Clinch 0%
- Ground 70%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Tommy Mcmillen12.80
- 2Hyder Amil7.28
- 3Marwan Rahiki6.87
- 4Luke Riley6.67
- 5Michael Aswell Jr.6.22
- 1Erik Silva67%
- 2Isaac Dulgarian64%
- 3Gabriel Santos61%
- 4Bogdan Grad59%
- 5Luke Riley59%
- 1Yadier Del Valle0.90
- 2Pat Sabatini1.16
- 3Jordan Leavitt1.63
- 4Isaac Dulgarian1.65
- 5Erik Silva1.66
- 1Felipe Lima68%
- 2Miles Johns67%
- 3Mairon Santos66%
- 4Yadier Del Valle66%
- 5Youssef Zalal65%
- 1Bogdan Grad5.33
- 2Movsar Evloev4.78
- 3Gabriel Miranda4.75
- 4Isaac Dulgarian4.57
- 5Pat Sabatini4.27
- 1Tommy Mcmillen100%
- 2Yadier Del Valle100%
- 3Gaston Bolanos75%
- 4Erik Silva75%
- 5Jean Silva67%
- 1Fernando Padilla100%
- 2Jose Aldo92%
- 3Kevin Vallejos90%
- 4Felipe Lima90%
- 5Sean Woodson88%
- 1Westin Wilson7.87
- 2Yadier Del Valle2.71
- 3Gabriel Miranda1.90
- 4Isaac Dulgarian1.83
- 5Daniel Pineda1.54
- 1Pat Sabatini10.65
- 2Isaac Dulgarian10.58
- 3Bogdan Grad6.76
- 4Jordan Leavitt5.97
- 5Darren Elkins5.51
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1520 (Kaan Ofli) vs 1524 (Javier Reyes).
- Jun 27, 2026
- Jan 31, 2026
- Oct 11, 2025
- Feb 1, 2025
- Aug 24, 2024
- Jun 27, 2026
- Feb 28, 2026