Other bouts 12
- 1lightweight MainRafael FizievvsManuel Torres
- 2middleweightShara MagomedovvsMichel Pereira
- 3lightweightNazim SadykhovvsMatheus Camilo
- 5middleweightIkram AliskerovvsBrunno Ferreira
- 6middleweightAbus MagomedovvsMichal Oleksiejczuk
- 7Not linkedwelterweightFarman HasanovvsEric Nolan
- 8light heavyweightAbdul Rakhman YakhyaevvsJulius Walker
- 9middleweightNursulton RuziboevvsAndrey Pulyaev
- 10featherweightKaan OflivsJavier Reyes
- 11Not linkedwelterweightDaniil DonchenkovsTheodor Berggren
- 12bantamweightBekzat AlmakhanvsJean Matsumoto
- 13Not linkedwelterweightTahir AbdullayevvsJefferson Nascimento
The result may differ from Pure Elo because in Honest Elo mode the opening market line carries information the pure-Elo model can't see — camp news, weight cuts, recent form. Not betting advice.
See methodologyHonest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
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Other fights on this card · 9
Tale of the tape
| 6-1-0 | UFC record | 8-6-0 |
| KO 0 · Sub 2 | Finishes | KO 3 · Sub 0 |
| +2 | Streak | +1 |
| 32 | Age | 35 |
| 5'4" 163 cm | Height | 5'9" 175 cm |
| 65" 165 cm | Reach | 70" 178 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Switch |
| 1608 | Global Elo | 1537 |
| 1573 | Elo rating | 1494 |
Asu Almabayev — Notable ▼
- Top 5 · flyweightTakedowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Asu Almabayev4.46
- 2Tim Elliott3.61
- 3Rei Tsuruya3.60
- 4Tatsuro Taira3.57
- 5Azat Maksum3.50
- Top 5 · flyweightControl Time per 15 Minutes
- 1Tatsuro Taira8.08
- 2Asu Almabayev6.98
- 3Tagir Ulanbekov6.11
- 4Rei Tsuruya5.59
- 5Allan Nascimento5.00
- Top 5 · flyweightLowest Strikes Absorbed
- 1Jose Johnson1.85
- 2Nyamjargal Tumendemberel1.92
- 3Allan Nascimento1.93
- 4Asu Almabayev1.99
- 5Joseph Morales2.05
- Top 5 · flyweightSubmission Attempts per 15 Min
- 1Joseph Morales3.04
- 2Jimmy Flick2.39
- 3Edgar Chairez1.67
- 4Tagir Ulanbekov1.52
- 5Asu Almabayev1.49
Charles Johnson — Notable ▼
- 90% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Asu Almabayev — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 210 landed total · career
- Head 54%
- Body 24%
- Leg 22%
- Distance 65%
- Clinch 11%
- Ground 24%
Charles Johnson — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 847 landed total · career
- Head 50%
- Body 29%
- Leg 20%
- Distance 81%
- Clinch 14%
- Ground 5%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Joshua Van8.43
- 2Brandon Royval5.54
- 3Jose Ochoa5.16
- 4Daniel Barez4.97
- 5Cj Vergara4.95
- 1Joshua Van57%
- 2Cj Vergara57%
- 3Andre Lima56%
- 4Manel Kape55%
- 5Tatsuro Taira54%
- 1Jose Johnson1.85
- 2Nyamjargal Tumendemberel1.92
- 3Allan Nascimento1.93
- 4Asu Almabayev1.99
- 5Joseph Morales2.05
- 1Matheus Nicolau66%
- 2Kai Kara-France64%
- 3Kyoji Horiguchi64%
- 4Sumudaerji62%
- 5Mitch Raposo61%
- 1Asu Almabayev4.46
- 2Tim Elliott3.61
- 3Rei Tsuruya3.60
- 4Tatsuro Taira3.57
- 5Azat Maksum3.50
- 1Brandon Royval75%
- 2Nyamjargal Tumendemberel67%
- 3Jose Johnson67%
- 4Joshua Van62%
- 5Andre Lima57%
- 1Lone'Er Kavanagh94%
- 2Matheus Nicolau90%
- 3Andre Lima88%
- 4Azat Maksum86%
- 5Alessandro Costa84%
- 1Joseph Morales3.04
- 2Jimmy Flick2.39
- 3Edgar Chairez1.67
- 4Tagir Ulanbekov1.52
- 5Asu Almabayev1.49
- 1Tatsuro Taira8.08
- 2Asu Almabayev6.98
- 3Tagir Ulanbekov6.11
- 4Rei Tsuruya5.59
- 5Allan Nascimento5.00
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1547 (Asu Almabayev) vs 1529 (Charles Johnson).
Common opponents
2 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- Nov 22, 2025
- Jul 26, 2025
- Mar 1, 2025
- Oct 19, 2024
- Jun 15, 2024
- Mar 14, 2026
- Jan 24, 2026
- Aug 23, 2025
- Mar 1, 2025
- Oct 19, 2024