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Asu Almabayev won · by Submission · R3
Final result · recorded Jun 27, 2026
Asu Almabayev
defeated Charles Johnson by Submission in round 3

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Asu Almabayev 77.9% · Charles Johnson 22.1%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Asu Almabayev 60.2% · Charles Johnson 39.8%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

Notable

Johnson

Reach advantage of ~5".

Tale of the tape

7-1-0 UFC record 9-7-0
KO 0 · Sub 3 Finishes KO 3 · Sub 1
+3 Streak +1
32 Age 35
5'4" 163 cm Height 5'9" 175 cm
65" 165 cm Reach 70" 178 cm
Orthodox Stance Switch
1623 Global Elo 1539
1593 Elo rating 1493
Asu Almabayev — Notable
At a glance
Charles Johnson — Notable
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights

Asu Almabayev — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 238 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
54% Head
  • Head 54%
  • Body 24%
  • Leg 22%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
65% Distance
  • Distance 65%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 25%

Charles Johnson — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 934 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
51% Head
  • Head 51%
  • Body 29%
  • Leg 21%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
82% Distance
  • Distance 82%
  • Clinch 13%
  • Ground 4%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

2.28
4.60
div avg 3.86
51%
50%
div avg 46%
1.94
3.93
div avg 3.26
54%
56%
div avg 57%
4.74
0.44
div avg 1.56
46%
15%
div avg 38%
44%
67%
div avg 63%
1.44
0.44
div avg 0.81
7
1
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Asu Almabayev
43% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 3
can finish?
Charles Johnson
finished 29%
2 of 7 losses
Charles Johnson
44% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 1
can finish?
Asu Almabayev
finished 100%
1 of 1 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1553 (Asu Almabayev) vs 1544 (Charles Johnson).

Asu Almabayev red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1553
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win
Matheus Nicolau
Elo 1578 at fight time
Expected wins
4.4
+2.6 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 8 fights
1523
1537
Charles Johnson blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1544
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win
Joshua Van
Elo 1577 at fight time
Expected wins
7.6
+1.4 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 16 fights
1533
1500

Common opponents

2 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    L
    Submission · R3
    KO/TKO · R1
    Nov 22, 2025
    Jan 24, 2026
  • W
    L
    Submission · R2
    Decision - Split
    Aug 5, 2023
    Feb 25, 2023
Corner A recent form
Asu Almabayev
Corner B recent form
Charles Johnson
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Asu Almabayev & Charles Johnson on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.