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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Tale of the tape

4-3-0 UFC record 10-7-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 Finishes KO 8 · Sub 0
-1 Streak +3
35 Age 31
6'2" 188 cm Height 6'0" 183 cm
78" 198 cm Reach 74" 188 cm
Orthodox Stance Southpaw
1561 Global Elo 1569
1511 Elo rating 1525
Abus Magomedov — Notable
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • 50% of wins by KO or submission
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Michal Oleksiejczuk — Notable
At a glance
  • 3-fight UFC win streak
  • Fight of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
  • 80% of wins by KO/TKO

Abus Magomedov — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 229 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
57% Head
  • Head 57%
  • Body 31%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
86% Distance
  • Distance 86%
  • Clinch 3%
  • Ground 10%

Michal Oleksiejczuk — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 613 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
69% Head
  • Head 69%
  • Body 27%
  • Leg 4%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
80% Distance
  • Distance 80%
  • Clinch 4%
  • Ground 16%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.07
5.96
div avg 4.47
49%
53%
div avg 51%
3.43
4.65
div avg 3.48
56%
58%
div avg 54%
2.61
0.88
div avg 1.73
59%
38%
div avg 44%
100%
53%
div avg 69%
0.40
0.00
div avg 0.52
4
2
div avg 3

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Abus Magomedov
50% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 1
can finish?
Michal Oleksiejczuk
finished 71%
5 of 7 losses
Michal Oleksiejczuk
80% finish rate
KO 8 · Sub 0
can finish?
Abus Magomedov
finished 67%
2 of 3 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Abus Magomedov has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1596 vs 1538, 1 quality wins to 0.

Abus Magomedov red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1596
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win
Michel Pereira
Elo 1644 at fight time
Expected wins
2.9
+1.1 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 7 fights
1455
1611
Michal Oleksiejczuk blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1538
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win
Gerald Meerschaert
Elo 1545 at fight time
Expected wins
8.5
+1.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 17 fights
1532
1481

Common opponents

2 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    L
    Decision - Unanimous
    Submission
    Apr 26, 2025
    Mar 9, 2024
  • L
    L
    Decision - Unanimous
    Submission
    Nov 4, 2023
    Apr 29, 2023
Corner A recent form
Abus Magomedov
Corner B recent form
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Abus Magomedov & Michal Oleksiejczuk on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.