HonestElo
← Back to event card
✓ Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev won · by TKO · R1

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Julius Walker — Honest Elo matchup

light heavyweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
Jun 27, 2026 · Baku, Azerbaijan
View full event card
Corner A
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
#13 3-0-0
Elo 1553
VS
Corner B
Julius Walker
#30 2-3-0
Elo 1439
Final result · recorded Jun 27, 2026
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
defeated Julius Walker by TKO in round 1

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev 63.8% · Julius Walker 36.2%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev 60.2% · Julius Walker 39.8%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

Independent UFC analytics

Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.

Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.

Follow @HonestElo Next card →
Other fights on this card · 9
Rafael Fiziev vs Manuel Torres Main event · lightweight Shara Magomedov vs Michel Pereira middleweight Nazim Sadykhov vs Matheus Camilo lightweight Asu Almabayev vs Charles Johnson flyweight Ikram Aliskerov vs Brunno Ferreira middleweight Abus Magomedov vs Michal Oleksiejczuk middleweight Nursulton Ruziboev vs Andrey Pulyaev middleweight Kaan Ofli vs Javier Reyes featherweight Bekzat Almakhan vs Jean Matsumoto bantamweight

Tale of the tape

3-0-0 UFC record 2-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 0
+3 Streak +1
25 Age 27
6'2" 188 cm Height 6'4" 193 cm
78" 198 cm Reach 78" 198 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1579 Global Elo 1487
1553 Elo rating 1439
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev — Notable ▼
At a glance
Julius Walker — Notable ▼
At a glance

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 19 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
95% Head
  • Head 95%
  • Body 5%
  • Leg 0%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
63% Ground
  • Distance 37%
  • Clinch 0%
  • Ground 63%

Julius Walker — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 175 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
59% Head
  • Head 59%
  • Body 25%
  • Leg 16%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
45% Distance
  • Distance 45%
  • Clinch 23%
  • Ground 32%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.35
3.85
div avg 4.82
58%
57%
div avg 52%
2.25
3.59
div avg 3.84
58%
42%
div avg 54%
12.68
4.29
div avg 1.87
75%
45%
div avg 42%
—
100%
div avg 68%
8.45
0.33
div avg 1.65
10
9
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
100% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 2
can finish?
Julius Walker
finished 67%
2 of 3 losses
Julius Walker
50% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
finished —
no losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Julius Walker has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1525 vs 1453, 0 quality wins to 0.

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1453
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Julius Walker
Elo 1476 at fight time
Expected wins
1.8
+1.2 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1414
1476
Julius Walker blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1525
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Gerald Meerschaert
Elo 1493 at fight time
Expected wins
2.2
−0.2 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 5 fights
1566
1493

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    Rafael Cerqueira
    W
    Submission · R1
    Decision - Unanimous
    Nov 22, 2025
    Aug 9, 2025
Corner A recent form
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
Corner B recent form
Julius Walker
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev & Julius Walker on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.