HonestElo
← welterweight

Nikolay Veretennikov

Active #81 welterweight
Elo rating
1490 ±38
LCB 1441
Rank
#81
top 88% of division
UFC record
2-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
+1
Δ90d +40 · Δ1y +47
Last fight
Feb 7, 2026
W by KO

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Aug 10, 2024 — L vs Danny Barlow Δ-26Feb 22, 2025 — L vs Austin Vanderford Δ-31Jul 19, 2025 — W vs Francisco Prado Δ+31Oct 4, 2025 — L vs Punahele Soriano Δ-24Feb 7, 2026 — W vs Niko Price Δ+40 14031435146714981530 20252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":117.9,"elo":1474,"date":"2024-08-10","opp":"Danny Barlow","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":1,"x":329.8,"y":169.1,"elo":1443,"date":"2025-02-22","opp":"Austin Vanderford","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":2,"x":559.2,"y":117.9,"elo":1474,"date":"2025-07-19","opp":"Francisco Prado","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":679.4,"y":158.4,"elo":1450,"date":"2025-10-04","opp":"Punahele Soriano","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":90.9,"elo":1490,"date":"2026-02-07","opp":"Niko Price","result":"W","delta":40}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 7, 2026 Niko Price W +40
Oct 4, 2025 Punahele Soriano L -24
Jul 19, 2025 Francisco Prado W +31
Feb 22, 2025 Austin Vanderford L -31
Aug 10, 2024 Danny Barlow L -26

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.32 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
54% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.02 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
41% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.50 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
22% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
67% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.50 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
1 / 2
Finish rate
KO
1
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
50% of wins
KO: 1 (50%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (50%) 1
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1511
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.2
actual 0 vs expected