HonestElo
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Brandon Thatch

Inactive · Switch · 188 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1487 ±39
LCB 1437
Rank
—
—
UFC record
2-4-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-4
Δ90d +25 · Δ1y +25
Last fight
Dec 30, 2016
L by Submission

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Aug 28, 2013 — W vs Justin Edwards Δ+34Nov 9, 2013 — W vs Paulo Thiago Δ+34Feb 14, 2015 — L vs Benson Henderson Δ-24Jul 11, 2015 — L vs Gunnar Nelson Δ-29Mar 5, 2016 — L vs Siyar Bahadurzada Δ-35Dec 30, 2016 — L vs Niko Price Δ-17 14221469151515621608 201420152016 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":108.7,"elo":1534,"date":"2013-08-28","opp":"Justin Edwards","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":1,"x":75,"y":69.6,"elo":1568,"date":"2013-11-09","opp":"Paulo Thiago","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":397.6,"y":96.9,"elo":1544,"date":"2015-02-14","opp":"Benson Henderson","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":3,"x":500.3,"y":130.2,"elo":1515,"date":"2015-07-11","opp":"Gunnar Nelson","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":4,"x":666.5,"y":170.6,"elo":1480,"date":"2016-03-05","opp":"Siyar Bahadurzada","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":190.4,"elo":1462,"date":"2016-12-30","opp":"Niko Price","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 30, 2016 Niko Price L -17
Mar 5, 2016 Siyar Bahadurzada L -35
Jul 11, 2015 Gunnar Nelson L -29
Feb 14, 2015 Benson Henderson L -24
Nov 9, 2013 Paulo Thiago W +34

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.16 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
43% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.91 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
53% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.09 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
67% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.55 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
0 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
2 / 2
Finish rate
KO
2
100% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 2 (100%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
2 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1558
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.8
actual -1 vs expected