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✓ Mateusz Rebecki won · by TKO · R1
lightweight
Other bouts 13
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Aug 1, 2026 · Belgrade, Vojvodina, Serbia
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Corner A
Mateusz Rebecki
#38 5-4-0
Elo 1514
VS
Corner B
Kyle Prepolec
#91 0-5-0
Elo 1359
Final result · recorded Aug 1, 2026
Mateusz Rebecki
defeated Kyle Prepolec by TKO in round 1

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Mateusz Rebecki 77.9% · Kyle Prepolec 22.1%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Mateusz Rebecki 69.1% · Kyle Prepolec 30.9%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 6
Uros Medic vs Daniel Rodriguez Main event · welterweight Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling light heavyweight Aleksandar Rakic vs Marcin Tybura heavyweight Dusko Todorovic vs Robert Valentin middleweight Ludovit Klein vs Tofiq Musayev lightweight Dennis Buzukja vs Bogdan Grad featherweight

Tale of the tape

5-4-0 UFC record 0-5-0
KO 2 · Sub 1 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 0
+1 Streak -5
33 Age 36
5'7" 170 cm Height 5'10" 178 cm
66" 168 cm Reach 70" 178 cm
Southpaw Stance Southpaw
1557 Global Elo 1385
1514 Elo rating 1359
Mateusz Rebecki — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
  • 60% of wins by KO or submission
  • 40% of wins finished in round 1
Kyle Prepolec — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 5-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround

Mateusz Rebecki — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 570 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
72% Head
  • Head 72%
  • Body 15%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
71% Distance
  • Distance 71%
  • Clinch 5%
  • Ground 25%

Kyle Prepolec — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 161 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
61% Head
  • Head 61%
  • Body 25%
  • Leg 14%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
96% Distance
  • Distance 96%
  • Clinch 3%
  • Ground 1%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.43
3.01
div avg 4.53
49%
34%
div avg 51%
4.29
6.59
div avg 3.76
55%
45%
div avg 53%
2.86
0.00
div avg 1.86
50%
0%
div avg 37%
53%
42%
div avg 72%
0.29
0.00
div avg 0.65
4
0
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Mateusz Rebecki
60% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 1
can finish?
Kyle Prepolec
finished 60%
3 of 5 losses
Kyle Prepolec
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Mateusz Rebecki
finished 50%
2 of 4 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1563 (Mateusz Rebecki) vs 1545 (Kyle Prepolec).

Mateusz Rebecki red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1563
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win
Myktybek Orolbai
Elo 1573 at fight time
Expected wins
4.5
+0.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 9 fights
1500
1405
Kyle Prepolec blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1545
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 0 UFC wins
Toughest win
—
Expected wins
1.9
−1.9 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 5 fights
1558
1546
Corner A recent form
Mateusz Rebecki
Corner B recent form
Kyle Prepolec
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Mateusz Rebecki & Kyle Prepolec on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.