Mateusz Rebecki vs Kyle Prepolec — Honest Elo Matchup & Stats Comparison

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

CORNER A

Mateusz Rebecki

5-4-0 UFC record
KO 2 · Sub 1 Finishes
+1 Streak
34 Age
5'7"170 cm Height
66"168 cm Reach
Southpaw Stance
1557 Global Elo
1514 Elo Rating

Notable

60% of wins by KO or submission
40% of wins finished in round 1

CORNER B

Kyle Prepolec

0-5-0 UFC record
KO 0 · Sub 0 Finishes
-5 Streak
37 Age
5'10"178 cm Height
70"178 cm Reach
Southpaw Stance
1385 Global Elo
1359 Elo Rating

Notable

5-fight losing streak

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Other fights on this card · 6

Uros Medic vs Daniel Rodriguez Main event · welterweight Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling light heavyweight Aleksandar Rakic vs Marcin Tybura heavyweight Dusko Todorovic vs Robert Valentin middleweight Ludovit Klein vs Tofiq Musayev lightweight Dennis Buzukja vs Bogdan Grad featherweight

Tale of the tape

5-4-0	UFC record	0-5-0
KO 2 · Sub 1	Finishes	KO 0 · Sub 0
+1	Streak	-5
34	Age	37
5'7" 170 cm	Height	5'10" 178 cm
66" 168 cm	Reach	70" 178 cm
Southpaw	Stance	Southpaw
1557	Global Elo	1385
1514	Elo rating	1359

Mateusz Rebecki — Notable ▼

At a glance

Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
60% of wins by KO or submission
40% of wins finished in round 1

Kyle Prepolec — Notable ▼

At a glance

5-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround

Mateusz Rebecki — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 570 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

72% Head

Head 72%
Body 15%
Leg 13%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

71% Distance

Distance 71%
Clinch 5%
Ground 25%

Kyle Prepolec — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 161 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

61% Head

Head 61%
Body 25%
Leg 14%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

96% Distance

Distance 96%
Clinch 3%
Ground 1%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.43

3.01

div avg 4.56

49%

34%

div avg 51%

4.29

6.59

div avg 3.65

55%

45%

div avg 53%

2.86

0.00

div avg 1.98

50%

div avg 38%

53%

42%

div avg 72%

0.29

0.00

div avg 0.69

div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Mateusz Rebecki

60% finish rate

KO 2 · Sub 1

can finish?

Kyle Prepolec

finished 60%

3 of 5 losses

Kyle Prepolec

0% finish rate

KO 0 · Sub 0

can finish?

Mateusz Rebecki

finished 50%

2 of 4 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1563 (Mateusz Rebecki) vs 1545 (Kyle Prepolec).

Mateusz Rebecki red corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1563

UFC level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 5 UFC wins

Toughest win

Myktybek Orolbai

Elo 1573 at fight time

Expected wins

4.5

+0.5 above schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 9 fights

1500

1405

Kyle Prepolec blue corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1545

UFC level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 0 UFC wins

Toughest win

—

Expected wins

1.9

−1.9 below schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 5 fights

1558

1546

Corner A recent form

Mateusz Rebecki

W Kyle Prepolec KO/TKO · R1

Aug 1, 2026
L Grant Dawson Submission · R3

May 9, 2026
L Ludovit Klein Decision - Majority

Oct 25, 2025
L Chris Duncan Decision - Unanimous

Aug 2, 2025
W Myktybek Orolbai Decision - Split

Oct 26, 2024
L Diego Ferreira KO/TKO · R3

May 11, 2024
W Roosevelt Roberts Submission · R1

Nov 11, 2023
W Loik Radzhabov KO/TKO · R2

Jun 24, 2023
W Nick Fiore Decision - Unanimous

Jan 14, 2023

Corner B recent form

Kyle Prepolec

L Mateusz Rebecki KO/TKO · R1

Aug 1, 2026
L Drew Dober KO/TKO · R3

Oct 18, 2025
L Benoit Saint Denis Submission · R2

May 10, 2025
L Austin Hubbard Decision - Unanimous

Sep 14, 2019
L Nordine Taleb Decision - Unanimous

May 4, 2019

Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Mateusz Rebecki & Kyle Prepolec on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.