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heavyweight
Other bouts 9
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Aug 1, 2026 · Belgrade, Serbia
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Corner A
Aleksandar Rakic
#20 6-5-0
Elo 1513
VS
Corner B
Marcin Tybura
#21 14-10-0
Elo 1526

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Aleksandar Rakic 50.0%
Corner B Marcin Tybura 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 5
Uros Medic vs Daniel Rodriguez welterweight Ludovit Klein vs Tofiq Musayev lightweight Mark Vologdin vs Josias Musasa bantamweight Dusko Todorovic vs Robert Valentin middleweight Dennis Buzukja vs Bogdan Grad featherweight

Tale of the tape

6-5-0 UFC record 14-10-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 4 · Sub 1
-4 Streak -2
34 Age 40
6'4" 193 cm Height 6'3" 191 cm
78" 198 cm Reach 78" 198 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1560 Global Elo 1579
1513 Elo rating 1526
Aleksandar Rakic — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 4-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • 33% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2017
Marcin Tybura — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • UFC veteran since 2016

Aleksandar Rakic — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 485 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
52% Head
  • Head 52%
  • Body 16%
  • Leg 32%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
67% Distance
  • Distance 67%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 24%

Marcin Tybura — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 942 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
65% Head
  • Head 65%
  • Body 22%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
69% Distance
  • Distance 69%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 21%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.13
3.56
div avg 4.68
50%
48%
div avg 51%
2.86
3.26
div avg 4.34
51%
55%
div avg 49%
0.64
1.30
div avg 1.23
22%
33%
div avg 37%
86%
71%
div avg 75%
0.13
0.11
div avg 0.61
5
4
div avg 3

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Aleksandar Rakic
33% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 0
can finish?
Marcin Tybura
finished 60%
6 of 10 losses
Marcin Tybura
36% finish rate
KO 4 · Sub 1
can finish?
Aleksandar Rakic
finished 60%
3 of 5 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Aleksandar Rakic has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1638 vs 1551, 2 quality wins to 3.

Aleksandar Rakic red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1638
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 6 UFC wins
Toughest win
Thiago Santos
Elo 1622 at fight time
Expected wins
5.3
+0.7 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 11 fights
1535
1650
Notable wins
Thiago Santos 1622 Anthony Smith 1604
Marcin Tybura blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1551
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
3
of 14 UFC wins
Toughest win
Alexandr Romanov
Elo 1635 at fight time
Expected wins
12.1
+1.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 24 fights
1508
1500
Notable wins
Alexandr Romanov 1635 Mick Parkin 1609 Andrei Arlovski 1601
Corner A recent form
Aleksandar Rakic
Corner B recent form
Marcin Tybura
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Aleksandar Rakic & Marcin Tybura on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.