Aleksandar Rakic vs Marcin Tybura — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 13
- 1welterweight MainUros MedicvsDaniel Rodriguez
- 2light heavyweightJan BlachowiczvsNavajo Stirling
- 4middleweightDusko TodorovicvsRobert Valentin
- 5Not linkedmiddleweightVlasto CepovsGilbert Urbina
- 6Not linkedlightweightMilos JanicicvsNoah Gugnon
- 7lightweightLudovit KleinvsTofiq Musayev
- 8Not linkedwelterweightOban ElliottvsMichael Oliveira
- 9Not linkedbantamweightBorislav NikolicvsMark Vologdin
- 10featherweightDennis BuzukjavsBogdan Grad
- 11lightweightMateusz RebeckivsKyle Prepolec
- 12Not linkedwomen's bantamweightNina MilosevicvsHailey Cowan
- 13Not linkedheavyweightJovan LekavsAlexander Poppeck
- 14Not linkedwomen's strawweightMarina SpasicvsStephanie Luciano
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Aleksandar Rakic 77.9% · Marcin Tybura 22.1%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Aleksandar Rakic 47.2% · Marcin Tybura 52.8%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
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Other fights on this card · 6
Tale of the tape
| 7-5-0 | UFC record | 14-11-0 |
| KO 2 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 5 · Sub 1 |
| +1 | Streak | -3 |
| 34 | Age | 40 |
| 6'4" 193 cm | Height | 6'3" 191 cm |
| 78" 198 cm | Reach | 78" 198 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1577 | Global Elo | 1561 |
| 1526 | Elo rating | 1510 |
Aleksandar Rakic — Notable ▼
- 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
- UFC veteran since 2017
Marcin Tybura — Notable ▼
- 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
- UFC veteran since 2016
Aleksandar Rakic — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 556 landed total · career
- Head 51%
- Body 19%
- Leg 31%
- Distance 70%
- Clinch 9%
- Ground 21%
Marcin Tybura — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 975 landed total · career
- Head 65%
- Body 22%
- Leg 13%
- Distance 69%
- Clinch 10%
- Ground 21%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Brando Pericic11.00
- 2Josh Hokit10.28
- 3Steven Asplund7.65
- 4Tom Aspinall7.63
- 5Sean Sharaf7.50
- 1Louie Sutherland69%
- 2Mario Pinto69%
- 3Tom Aspinall68%
- 4Tallison Teixeira67%
- 5Josh Hokit64%
- 1Jailton Almeida1.32
- 2Mario Pinto1.88
- 3Louie Sutherland1.95
- 4Alexandr Romanov2.13
- 5Marcus Buchecha2.15
- 1Ciryl Gane61%
- 2Mario Pinto59%
- 3Brando Pericic58%
- 4Mick Parkin58%
- 5Tanner Boser58%
- 1Jailton Almeida5.57
- 2Valter Walker5.39
- 3Curtis Blaydes5.04
- 4Mario Pinto4.62
- 5Louie Sutherland4.49
- 1Robelis Despaigne100%
- 2Tom Aspinall80%
- 3Tanner Boser75%
- 4Valter Walker69%
- 5Hamdy Abdelwahab65%
- 1Tom Aspinall100%
- 2Mario Pinto100%
- 3Valter Walker100%
- 4Steven Asplund100%
- 5Hamdy Abdelwahab100%
- 1Valter Walker3.59
- 2Jailton Almeida1.64
- 3Ryan Spann1.58
- 4Tom Aspinall1.31
- 5Alexandr Romanov0.86
- 1Jailton Almeida10.49
- 2Louie Sutherland9.43
- 3Valter Walker7.97
- 4Mario Pinto7.37
- 5Alexandr Romanov7.32
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Aleksandar Rakic has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1630 vs 1546, 2 quality wins to 3.
- Aug 1, 2026
- Oct 25, 2025
- Oct 26, 2024
- Apr 13, 2024
- May 14, 2022
- Aug 1, 2026
- Mar 28, 2026
- Sep 6, 2025
- Mar 22, 2025
- Nov 16, 2024