Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling — Honest Elo Matchup & Stats Comparison

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

CORNER A

Jan Blachowicz

12-9-2 UFC record
KO 5 · Sub 2 Finishes
-1 Streak
43 Age
6'2"188 cm Height
78"198 cm Reach
Orthodox Stance
1605 Global Elo
1555 Elo Rating

Notable

1 successful title defense
58% of wins by KO or submission
100% takedown defense in last 3 fights

CORNER B

Navajo Stirling

6-0-0 UFC record
KO 3 · Sub 0 Finishes
+6 Streak
28 Age
6'4"193 cm Height
79"201 cm Reach
Orthodox Stance
1648 Global Elo
1622 Elo Rating

Notable

6-fight UFC win streak — still undefeated
3 KO/TKO finishes in a row
50% of wins by KO/TKO

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Other fights on this card · 6

Uros Medic vs Daniel Rodriguez Main event · welterweight Aleksandar Rakic vs Marcin Tybura heavyweight Dusko Todorovic vs Robert Valentin middleweight Ludovit Klein vs Tofiq Musayev lightweight Dennis Buzukja vs Bogdan Grad featherweight Mateusz Rebecki vs Kyle Prepolec lightweight

Notable

division-context facts

Stirling

Unbeaten in the UFC at 6–0.

Blachowicz

6 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Blachowicz

Title-fight record 2–1.

Tale of the tape

12-9-2	UFC record	6-0-0
KO 5 · Sub 2	Finishes	KO 3 · Sub 0
-1	Streak	+6
43	Age	28
6'2" 188 cm	Height	6'4" 193 cm
78" 198 cm	Reach	79" 201 cm
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
1605	Global Elo	1648
1555	Elo rating	1622

Jan Blachowicz — Notable ▼

At a glance

1 successful title defense
58% of wins by KO or submission
100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
UFC veteran since 2014

Navajo Stirling — Notable ▼

At a glance

6-fight UFC win streak — still undefeated
Performance of the Night in last fight
3 KO/TKO finishes in a row
50% of wins by KO/TKO

Jan Blachowicz — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1040 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

61% Head

Head 61%
Body 21%
Leg 18%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

78% Distance

Distance 78%
Clinch 10%
Ground 11%

Navajo Stirling — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 419 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

53% Head

Head 53%
Body 32%
Leg 16%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

75% Distance

Distance 75%
Clinch 6%
Ground 20%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.53

6.41

div avg 4.76

50%

54%

div avg 51%

3.23

2.46

div avg 4.12

52%

59%

div avg 52%

0.97

0.92

div avg 1.35

49%

36%

div avg 39%

70%

div avg 71%

0.36

0.00

div avg 0.58

div avg 2

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Jan Blachowicz

58% finish rate

KO 5 · Sub 2

can finish?

Navajo Stirling

finished —

no losses

Navajo Stirling

50% finish rate

KO 3 · Sub 0

can finish?

Jan Blachowicz

finished 33%

3 of 9 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Jan Blachowicz has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1636 vs 1532, 6 quality wins to 1.

Jan Blachowicz red corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1636

Contender level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 12 UFC wins

Toughest win

Israel Adesanya

Elo 1748 at fight time

Expected wins

10.2

+1.8 above schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 23 fights

1541

1630

Notable wins

Israel Adesanya 1748 Jacare Souza 1661 Dominick Reyes 1654 Luke Rockhold 1645 Corey Anderson 1626

Navajo Stirling blue corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1532

UFC level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 6 UFC wins

Toughest win

Jan Blachowicz

Elo 1623 at fight time

Expected wins

3.4

+2.6 above schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 6 fights

1467

1623

Notable wins

Jan Blachowicz 1623

Corner A recent form

Jan Blachowicz

L Navajo Stirling KO/TKO · R1

Aug 1, 2026
D Bogdan Guskov Decision - Majority

Dec 6, 2025
L Carlos Ulberg Decision - Unanimous

Mar 22, 2025
L Alex Pereira Decision - Split

Jul 29, 2023
D Magomed Ankalaev Decision - Split

Dec 10, 2022
W Aleksandar Rakic KO/TKO · R3

May 14, 2022
L Glover Teixeira Submission · R2

Oct 30, 2021
W Israel Adesanya Decision - Unanimous

Mar 6, 2021
W Dominick Reyes KO/TKO · R2

Sep 26, 2020
W Corey Anderson KO/TKO · R1

Feb 15, 2020
W Jacare Souza Decision - Split

Nov 16, 2019
W Luke Rockhold KO/TKO · R2

Jul 6, 2019
L Thiago Santos KO/TKO · R3

Feb 23, 2019
W Nikita Krylov Submission · R2

Sep 15, 2018
W Jimi Manuwa Decision - Unanimous

Mar 17, 2018
W Jared Cannonier Decision - Unanimous

Dec 16, 2017
W Devin Clark Submission · R2

Oct 21, 2017
L Patrick Cummins Decision - Unanimous

Apr 8, 2017
L Alexander Gustafsson Decision - Unanimous

Sep 3, 2016
W Igor Pokrajac Decision - Unanimous

Apr 10, 2016
L Corey Anderson Decision - Unanimous

Sep 5, 2015
L Jimi Manuwa Decision - Unanimous

Apr 11, 2015
W Ilir Latifi KO/TKO · R1

Oct 4, 2014

Corner B recent form

Navajo Stirling

W Jan Blachowicz KO/TKO · R1

Aug 1, 2026
W Ion Cutelaba KO/TKO · R2

Jun 20, 2026
W Bruno Lopes KO/TKO · R2

Mar 28, 2026
W Rodolfo Bellato Decision - Unanimous

Sep 27, 2025
W Ivan Erslan Decision - Unanimous

May 10, 2025
W Tuco Tokkos Decision - Unanimous

Dec 14, 2024

Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Jan Blachowicz & Navajo Stirling on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.