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Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Aug 1, 2026 · Belgrade, Serbia
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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Tale of the tape

1-4-0 UFC record 1-2-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 0
-2 Streak -2
28 Age 30
5'9" 175 cm Height 5'8" 173 cm
71" 180 cm Reach 70" 178 cm
Switch Stance Orthodox
1422 Global Elo 1471
1376 Elo rating 1423
Dennis Buzukja — Notable
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 100% of wins by KO/TKO
Bogdan Grad — Notable
At a glance

Dennis Buzukja — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 199 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
57% Head
  • Head 57%
  • Body 23%
  • Leg 20%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
91% Distance
  • Distance 91%
  • Clinch 4%
  • Ground 5%

Bogdan Grad — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 84 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
65% Head
  • Head 65%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
45% Ground
  • Distance 33%
  • Clinch 21%
  • Ground 45%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.68
2.81
div avg 4.31
41%
59%
div avg 48%
4.85
2.21
div avg 3.46
53%
49%
div avg 56%
0.00
5.02
div avg 1.56
0%
40%
div avg 41%
57%
75%
div avg 65%
0.00
0.00
div avg 0.48
1
7
div avg 3

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Dennis Buzukja
100% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Bogdan Grad
finished 50%
1 of 2 losses
Bogdan Grad
100% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Dennis Buzukja
finished 50%
2 of 4 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1497 (Dennis Buzukja) vs 1511 (Bogdan Grad).

Dennis Buzukja red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1497
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Connor Matthews
Elo 1500 at fight time
Expected wins
2.3
−1.3 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 5 fights
1541
1500
Bogdan Grad blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1511
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Lucas Alexander
Elo 1461 at fight time
Expected wins
1.5
−0.5 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1461
1500
Corner A recent form
Dennis Buzukja
Corner B recent form
Bogdan Grad
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Dennis Buzukja & Bogdan Grad on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.