Uros Medic vs Daniel Rodriguez — Honest Elo Matchup & Stats Comparison

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

CORNER A

Uros Medic

8-3-0 UFC record
KO 8 · Sub 0 Finishes
+4 Streak
33 Age
6'1"185 cm Height
71"180 cm Reach
Southpaw Stance
1609 Global Elo
1558 Elo Rating

Notable

4-fight UFC win streak
Top welterweight for Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
4 KO/TKO finishes in a row

CORNER B

Daniel Rodriguez

10-5-0 UFC record
KO 3 · Sub 1 Finishes
-1 Streak
39 Age
6'1"185 cm Height
74"188 cm Reach
Southpaw Stance
1612 Global Elo
1563 Elo Rating

Notable

#3 in welterweight for Strikes Landed per Minute

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Other fights on this card · 6

Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling light heavyweight Aleksandar Rakic vs Marcin Tybura heavyweight Dusko Todorovic vs Robert Valentin middleweight Ludovit Klein vs Tofiq Musayev lightweight Dennis Buzukja vs Bogdan Grad featherweight Mateusz Rebecki vs Kyle Prepolec lightweight

Notable

division-context facts

Medic

Finishes 100% of wins (8 KO; 75% of wins end in round 1).

Tale of the tape

8-3-0	UFC record	10-5-0
KO 8 · Sub 0	Finishes	KO 3 · Sub 1
+4	Streak	-1
33	Age	39
6'1" 185 cm	Height	6'1" 185 cm
71" 180 cm	Reach	74" 188 cm
Southpaw	Stance	Southpaw
1609	Global Elo	1612
1558	Elo rating	1563

Uros Medic — Notable ▼

At a glance

Daniel Rodriguez — Notable ▼

At a glance

🥉
Top 5 · welterweight
Strikes Landed per Minute
1. 1Carlos Leal8.75
2. 2Daniil Donchenko8.07
3. 3Daniel Rodriguez7.18
4. 4Max Holloway6.92
5. 5Jacobe Smith6.85
See full top-25 →

Uros Medic — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 224 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

68% Head

Head 68%
Body 21%
Leg 10%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

64% Distance

Distance 64%
Clinch 13%
Ground 24%

Daniel Rodriguez — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1171 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

64% Head

Head 64%
Body 20%
Leg 16%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

95% Distance

Distance 95%
Clinch 2%
Ground 3%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.31

7.18

div avg 4.23

58%

49%

div avg 50%

3.53

5.36

div avg 3.15

56%

57%

div avg 56%

0.36

0.18

div avg 1.89

50%

29%

div avg 43%

56%

64%

div avg 71%

0.00

0.09

div avg 0.43

div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Uros Medic

100% finish rate

KO 8 · Sub 0

can finish?

Daniel Rodriguez

finished 60%

3 of 5 losses

Daniel Rodriguez

40% finish rate

KO 3 · Sub 1

can finish?

Uros Medic

finished 100%

3 of 3 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1573 (Uros Medic) vs 1596 (Daniel Rodriguez).

Uros Medic red corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1573

UFC level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 8 UFC wins

Toughest win

Daniel Rodriguez

Elo 1632 at fight time

Expected wins

5.4

+2.6 above schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 11 fights

1467

1632

Notable wins

Daniel Rodriguez 1632 Muslim Salikhov 1630 Geoff Neal 1622

Daniel Rodriguez blue corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1596

UFC level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 10 UFC wins

Toughest win

Kevin Lee

Elo 1620 at fight time

Expected wins

7.8

+2.2 above schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 15 fights

1550

1589

Notable wins

Kevin Lee 1620 Li Jingliang 1608 Kevin Holland 1606 Santiago Ponzinibbio 1601

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

W

Tim Means

W

KO/TKO · R1

Submission · R2

Apr 27, 2024

Feb 15, 2020

W · KO/TKO · R1

Apr 27, 2024

Tim Means

W · Submission · R2

Feb 15, 2020

Corner A recent form

Uros Medic

W Daniel Rodriguez KO/TKO · R1

Aug 1, 2026
W Geoff Neal KO/TKO · R1

Feb 21, 2026
W Muslim Salikhov KO/TKO · R1

Nov 8, 2025
W Gilbert Urbina KO/TKO · R1

Aug 9, 2025
L Punahele Soriano KO/TKO · R1

Jan 11, 2025
W Tim Means KO/TKO · R1

Apr 27, 2024
L Myktybek Orolbai Submission · R2

Nov 18, 2023
W Matthew Semelsberger KO/TKO · R3

Jul 29, 2023
W Omar Morales KO/TKO · R2

May 21, 2022
L Jalin Turner Submission · R1

Sep 25, 2021
W Aalon Cruz KO/TKO · R1

Mar 6, 2021

Corner B recent form

Daniel Rodriguez

L Uros Medic KO/TKO · R1

Aug 1, 2026
W Kevin Holland Decision - Unanimous

Jul 19, 2025
W Santiago Ponzinibbio KO/TKO · R3

May 3, 2025
W Alex Morono Decision - Split

Oct 12, 2024
L Kelvin Gastelum Decision - Unanimous

Jun 22, 2024
L Ian Machado Garry KO/TKO · R1

May 13, 2023
L Neil Magny Submission · R3

Nov 5, 2022
W Li Jingliang Decision - Split

Sep 10, 2022
W Kevin Lee Decision - Unanimous

Aug 28, 2021
W Preston Parsons KO/TKO · R1

Jul 17, 2021
W Mike Perry Decision - Unanimous

Apr 10, 2021
L Nicolas Dalby Decision - Unanimous

Nov 21, 2020
W Dwight Grant KO/TKO · R1

Aug 22, 2020
W Gabe Green Decision - Unanimous

May 30, 2020
W Tim Means Submission · R2

Feb 15, 2020

Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Uros Medic & Daniel Rodriguez on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.