Other bouts 11
- 2flyweightSteve ErcegvsRamazan Temirov
- 4Not linkedlightweightMagomed ZaynukovvsDamian Rzepecki
- 5heavyweightRizvan KunievvsTyrell Fortune
- 6Not linkedwelterweightAbubakar VagaevvsSaygid Izagakhmaev
- 7heavyweightValter WalkervsThomas Petersen
- 8Not linkedlight heavyweightDustin JacobyvsMuhammad Saidov
- 9welterweightSantiago PonzinibbiovsSam Patterson
- 10lightweightIsmael BonfimvsAxel Sola
- 11Not linkedlight heavyweightMagomed TuchalovvsBrendson Ribeiro
- 12lightweightNurullo AlievvsMike Davis
- 13Not linkedbantamweightCody GibsonvsAbdul Hussein
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Magomed Ankalaev 77.9% · Bogdan Guskov 22.1%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Magomed Ankalaev 62.0% · Bogdan Guskov 38.0%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
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Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Tale of the tape
| 13-2-1 | UFC record | 4-2-1 |
| KO 7 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 3 · Sub 1 |
| +1 | Streak | -1 |
| 34 | Age | 33 |
| 6'3" 191 cm | Height | 6'3" 191 cm |
| 75" 191 cm | Reach | 76" 193 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1706 | Global Elo | 1594 |
| 1670 | Elo rating | 1553 |
Magomed Ankalaev — Notable ▼
- 54% of wins by KO/TKO
- 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
- Career-best 9-fight win streak
- UFC veteran since 2018
Bogdan Guskov — Notable ▼
- 100% of wins by KO or submission
- 50% of wins finished in round 1
Magomed Ankalaev — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 744 landed total · career
- Head 54%
- Body 29%
- Leg 17%
- Distance 72%
- Clinch 10%
- Ground 18%
Bogdan Guskov — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 238 landed total · career
- Head 74%
- Body 5%
- Leg 21%
- Distance 66%
- Clinch 5%
- Ground 30%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Iwo Baraniewski11.29
- 2Zhang Mingyang6.64
- 3Carlos Ulberg6.61
- 4Navajo Stirling6.41
- 5Paulo Costa6.15
- 1Diyar Nurgozhay63%
- 2Paulo Costa59%
- 3Rodolfo Bellato59%
- 4Zhang Mingyang59%
- 5Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev58%
- 1Oumar Sy1.87
- 2Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev2.25
- 3Navajo Stirling2.46
- 4Magomed Ankalaev2.49
- 5Austen Lane2.56
- 1Oumar Sy67%
- 2Caio Machado62%
- 3Navajo Stirling59%
- 4Robert Whittaker59%
- 5Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev58%
- 1Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev12.68
- 2Jimmy Crute4.64
- 3Julius Walker4.07
- 4Ion Cutelaba4.02
- 5Bruno Lopes2.91
- 1Iwo Baraniewski100%
- 2Zhang Mingyang100%
- 3Julius Walker100%
- 4Bruno Lopes100%
- 5Rodolfo Bellato92%
- 1Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev8.45
- 2Jimmy Crute2.13
- 3Nikita Krylov1.14
- 4Billy Elekana0.85
- 5Tuco Tokkos0.70
- 1Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev10.07
- 2Julius Walker8.17
- 3Austen Lane6.24
- 4Jimmy Crute6.02
- 5Nikita Krylov5.30
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Magomed Ankalaev has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1643 vs 1596, 4 quality wins to 0.
Common opponents
3 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- Jul 25, 2026
- Oct 4, 2025
- Mar 8, 2025
- Oct 26, 2024
- Jan 13, 2024
- Jul 25, 2026
- Dec 6, 2025
- Jul 26, 2025
- Jan 18, 2025
- Apr 27, 2024