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Anthony Smith

Active #21 light heavyweight · Orthodox · 193 cm · reach 193 cm
Elo rating
1560 ±35
LCB 1514
Rank
#21
top 43% of division
UFC record
13-12-0
KO 5 · Sub 5 · Dec 2
Streak
-3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -19
Last fight
Apr 26, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

25 fights · tap & drag
Jun 8, 2013 — L vs Antonio Braga Neto Δ-33Feb 21, 2016 — W vs Leonardo Guimaraes Δ+32Jul 8, 2016 — L vs Cezar Ferreira Δ-24Dec 3, 2016 — W vs Elvis Mutapcic Δ+33Apr 15, 2017 — W vs Andrew Sanchez Δ+38Sep 16, 2017 — W vs Hector Lombard Δ+18Feb 3, 2018 — L vs Thiago Santos Δ-17Jun 9, 2018 — W vs Rashad Evans Δ+23Jul 22, 2018 — W vs Mauricio Rua Δ+20Oct 27, 2018 — W vs Volkan Oezdemir Δ+18Mar 2, 2019 — L vs Jon Jones Δ-9Jun 1, 2019 — W vs Alexander Gustafsson Δ+20May 13, 2020 — L vs Glover Teixeira Δ-15Aug 29, 2020 — L vs Aleksandar Rakic Δ-17Nov 28, 2020 — W vs Devin Clark Δ+16Apr 24, 2021 — W vs Jimmy Crute Δ+16Sep 18, 2021 — W vs Ryan Spann Δ+17Jul 30, 2022 — L vs Magomed Ankalaev Δ-18May 13, 2023 — L vs Johnny Walker Δ-18Aug 26, 2023 — W vs Ryan Spann Δ+16Dec 9, 2023 — L vs Khalil Rountree Jr. Δ-21May 4, 2024 — W vs Vitor Petrino Δ+19Jun 29, 2024 — L vs Roman Dolidze Δ-17Dec 7, 2024 — L vs Dominick Reyes Δ-18Apr 26, 2025 — L vs Zhang Mingyang Δ-19 14271489155216141676 201520172019202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":202,"elo":1467,"date":"2013-06-08","opp":"Antonio Braga Neto","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":218,"y":175.2,"elo":1498,"date":"2016-02-21","opp":"Leonardo Guimaraes","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":2,"x":245,"y":195.8,"elo":1474,"date":"2016-07-08","opp":"Cezar Ferreira","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":3,"x":274.1,"y":167.7,"elo":1507,"date":"2016-12-03","opp":"Elvis Mutapcic","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":4,"x":300.2,"y":135.1,"elo":1546,"date":"2017-04-15","opp":"Andrew Sanchez","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":5,"x":330.4,"y":120.1,"elo":1563,"date":"2017-09-16","opp":"Hector Lombard","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":357.9,"y":134.4,"elo":1546,"date":"2018-02-03","opp":"Thiago Santos","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":7,"x":382.7,"y":114.9,"elo":1569,"date":"2018-06-09","opp":"Rashad Evans","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":8,"x":391.1,"y":97.8,"elo":1589,"date":"2018-07-22","opp":"Mauricio Rua","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":9,"x":410.1,"y":82.5,"elo":1607,"date":"2018-10-27","opp":"Volkan Oezdemir","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":10,"x":434.9,"y":89.7,"elo":1599,"date":"2019-03-02","opp":"Jon Jones","result":"L","delta":-9},{"i":11,"x":452.7,"y":72.6,"elo":1619,"date":"2019-06-01","opp":"Alexander Gustafsson","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":12,"x":520.9,"y":85.2,"elo":1604,"date":"2020-05-13","opp":"Glover Teixeira","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":13,"x":542.1,"y":99.4,"elo":1588,"date":"2020-08-29","opp":"Aleksandar Rakic","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":14,"x":559.9,"y":86.2,"elo":1603,"date":"2020-11-28","opp":"Devin Clark","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":15,"x":588.8,"y":72.6,"elo":1619,"date":"2021-04-24","opp":"Jimmy Crute","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":16,"x":617.7,"y":58,"elo":1636,"date":"2021-09-18","opp":"Ryan Spann","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":17,"x":679.5,"y":73,"elo":1619,"date":"2022-07-30","opp":"Magomed Ankalaev","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":18,"x":735.8,"y":88.5,"elo":1600,"date":"2023-05-13","opp":"Johnny Walker","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":19,"x":756.4,"y":75.1,"elo":1616,"date":"2023-08-26","opp":"Ryan Spann","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":20,"x":777.1,"y":92.8,"elo":1595,"date":"2023-12-09","opp":"Khalil Rountree Jr.","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":21,"x":805.9,"y":76.6,"elo":1614,"date":"2024-05-04","opp":"Vitor Petrino","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":22,"x":816.9,"y":91.3,"elo":1597,"date":"2024-06-29","opp":"Roman Dolidze","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":23,"x":848.5,"y":106.7,"elo":1579,"date":"2024-12-07","opp":"Dominick Reyes","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":24,"x":876,"y":123,"elo":1560,"date":"2025-04-26","opp":"Zhang Mingyang","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 26, 2025 Zhang Mingyang L -19
Dec 7, 2024 Dominick Reyes L -18
Jun 29, 2024 Roman Dolidze L -17
May 4, 2024 Vitor Petrino W +19
Dec 9, 2023 Khalil Rountree Jr. L -21

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.80 avg 3.69
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
50% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.49 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
44% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.40 avg 0.73
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
23% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 76%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.40 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
77%
10 / 13
Finish rate
KO
5
38% of wins
SUB
5
38% of wins
DEC
2
15% of wins
KO: 5 (42%) 5 Sub: 5 (42%) 5 Dec: 2 (17%) 2
Finishes by round
11 total
R1
6 55%
R2
1 9%
R3
3 27%
R4
1 9%
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1586
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
12.0
actual +1 vs expected