Ismael Bonfim vs Axel Sola — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 11
- 1light heavyweight MainMagomed AnkalaevvsBogdan Guskov
- 2flyweightSteve ErcegvsRamazan Temirov
- 4Not linkedlightweightMagomed ZaynukovvsDamian Rzepecki
- 5heavyweightRizvan KunievvsTyrell Fortune
- 6Not linkedwelterweightAbubakar VagaevvsSaygid Izagakhmaev
- 7heavyweightValter WalkervsThomas Petersen
- 8Not linkedlight heavyweightDustin JacobyvsMuhammad Saidov
- 9welterweightSantiago PonzinibbiovsSam Patterson
- 11Not linkedlight heavyweightMagomed TuchalovvsBrendson Ribeiro
- 12lightweightNurullo AlievvsMike Davis
- 13Not linkedbantamweightCody GibsonvsAbdul Hussein
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Ismael Bonfim 36.7% · Axel Sola 63.3%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Ismael Bonfim 46.4% · Axel Sola 53.6%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
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Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 6
Notable
Has never been finished — the only loss went to the scorecards.
Tale of the tape
| 2-5-0 | UFC record | 3-1-0 |
| KO 1 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 2 · Sub 1 |
| -4 | Streak | +2 |
| 30 | Age | 29 |
| 5'8" 173 cm | Height | 6'0" 183 cm |
| 71" 180 cm | Reach | 74" 188 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Southpaw |
| 1449 | Global Elo | 1571 |
| 1397 | Elo rating | 1526 |
Ismael Bonfim — Notable ▼
- 4-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
- 50% of wins by KO/TKO
Axel Sola — Notable ▼
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- Has never been finished — durability signal
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- 100% of wins by KO or submission
Ismael Bonfim — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 241 landed total · career
- Head 63%
- Body 20%
- Leg 16%
- Distance 91%
- Clinch 8%
- Ground 1%
Axel Sola — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 152 landed total · career
- Head 84%
- Body 16%
- Leg 0%
- Distance 69%
- Clinch 22%
- Ground 9%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Terrance McKinney7.95
- 2Gauge Young7.53
- 3Esteban Ribovics7.46
- 4Billy Quarantillo6.80
- 5Chris Padilla6.67
- 1Marquel Mederos60%
- 2Benoit Saint Denis58%
- 3Quillan Salkilld58%
- 4Justin Gaethje58%
- 5Anshul Jubli57%
- 1Kaue Fernandes1.63
- 2Fares Ziam1.63
- 3Nurullo Aliev1.67
- 4Arman Tsarukyan1.77
- 5Joe Solecki1.90
- 1Matheus Camilo66%
- 2Fares Ziam63%
- 3Ilia Topuria62%
- 4Nasrat Haqparast62%
- 5King Green61%
- 1Quillan Salkilld5.74
- 2Mateusz Gamrot5.08
- 3Benoit Saint Denis4.15
- 4Grant Dawson3.62
- 5Nurullo Aliev3.50
- 1Kaue Fernandes100%
- 2Rafael Fiziev71%
- 3Manuel Torres67%
- 4Esteban Ribovics67%
- 5Rongzhu63%
- 1Trey Ogden100%
- 2Matheus Camilo100%
- 3Ottman Azaitar100%
- 4Anshul Jubli100%
- 5Ilia Topuria95%
- 1Charles Oliveira2.59
- 2Terrance McKinney2.18
- 3Chase Hooper2.05
- 4Benoit Saint Denis1.73
- 5Jim Miller1.72
- 1Grant Dawson9.76
- 2Nurullo Aliev8.80
- 3Benoit Saint Denis7.08
- 4Terrance McKinney6.77
- 5Claudio Puelles6.69
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1531 (Ismael Bonfim) vs 1515 (Axel Sola).
- Oct 10, 2026
- Jul 25, 2026
- Nov 8, 2025
- Feb 15, 2025
- May 4, 2024
- Sep 5, 2026
- Jul 25, 2026
- Mar 21, 2026
- Sep 6, 2025