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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Tale of the tape

5-3-0 UFC record 2-0-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 0
+2 Streak +2
30 Age 29
5'8" 173 cm Height 5'4" 163 cm
68" 173 cm Reach 63" 160 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1548 Global Elo 1552
1505 Elo rating 1526
Steve Erceg — Notable
Ramazan Temirov — Notable
At a glance
  • 50% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights

Steve Erceg — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 554 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
74% Head
  • Head 74%
  • Body 18%
  • Leg 8%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
89% Distance
  • Distance 89%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 2%

Ramazan Temirov — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 78 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
77% Head
  • Head 77%
  • Body 22%
  • Leg 1%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
85% Distance
  • Distance 85%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 4%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.64
4.37
div avg 3.86
48%
40%
div avg 47%
4.07
3.93
div avg 3.24
56%
59%
div avg 56%
1.13
0.84
div avg 1.55
28%
50%
div avg 38%
67%
100%
div avg 64%
0.38
0.00
div avg 0.73
2
0
div avg 3

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Steve Erceg
20% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Ramazan Temirov
finished
no losses
Ramazan Temirov
50% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Steve Erceg
finished 33%
1 of 3 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Steve Erceg has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1575 vs 1521, 0 quality wins to 0.

Steve Erceg red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1575
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win
Matt Schnell
Elo 1544 at fight time
Expected wins
3.8
+1.2 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 8 fights
1523
1525
Ramazan Temirov blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1521
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Charles Johnson
Elo 1535 at fight time
Expected wins
1.0
+1.0 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 2 fights
1508
1535
Corner A recent form
Steve Erceg
Corner B recent form
Ramazan Temirov
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Steve Erceg & Ramazan Temirov on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.