HonestElo
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Zac Pauga "The High Chief"

Inactive
At a glance
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Elo rating
1412
Global Elo 1455 ±33
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d +24 · Δ1y +24
Last fight
Feb 10, 2024
Loss by KO · R1

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
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The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Aug 6, 2022 — L vs Mohammed Usman Δ-33Feb 18, 2023 — W vs Jordan Wright Δ+27Jun 17, 2023 — L vs Modestas Bukauskas Δ-30Feb 10, 2024 — L vs Bogdan Guskov Δ-32 1380140014201440146014801500 20232024 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":230.5,"elo":1447,"date":"2022-08-06","opp":"Mohammed Usman","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":345.2,"y":159.6,"elo":1474,"date":"2023-02-18","opp":"Jordan Wright","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":500.1,"y":239.3,"elo":1444,"date":"2023-06-17","opp":"Modestas Bukauskas","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":3,"x":810,"y":325.7,"elo":1412,"date":"2024-02-10","opp":"Bogdan Guskov","result":"L","delta":-32}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 10, 2024 Bogdan Guskov L -32
Jun 17, 2023 Modestas Bukauskas L -30
Feb 18, 2023 Jordan Wright W +27
Aug 6, 2022 Mohammed Usman L -33
How the wins come
  • 1 win by decision 100%

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 175 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
50% Head
  • Head 50%
  • Body 33%
  • Leg 18%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
71% Distance
  • Distance 71%
  • Clinch 28%
  • Ground 1%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
67%
of losses by finish
2 of 3
2 KO/TKO 0 Sub 1 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1473
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Jordan Wright
Elo 1440 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
2.0
−1.1 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 4 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1471
Career at a glance
Octagon time
39m
Avg fight time
9:48
Fights per year
2.6
Since last fight
2y 6mo
Ground control
12m
vs Compare Zac Pauga with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top light heavyweight

See full rankings →
Carlos Ulberg C
#1 · Elo 1670
Magomed Ankalaev
#2 · Elo 1670
Robert Whittaker
#3 · Elo 1633
Navajo Stirling
#4 · Elo 1622
Azamat Murzakanov
#5 · Elo 1611
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Zac Pauga on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.