HonestElo
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Marcin Prachnio

Active #42 light heavyweight · Orthodox · 191 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1452 ±39
LCB 1402
Rank
#42
top 89% of division
UFC record
4-7-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -14
Last fight
Jul 19, 2025
L by Submission

Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
Feb 24, 2018 — L vs Sam Alvey Δ-26Sep 15, 2018 — L vs Magomed Ankalaev Δ-34Aug 22, 2020 — L vs Mike Rodriguez Δ-30Jan 23, 2021 — W vs Khalil Rountree Jr. Δ+38Jun 26, 2021 — W vs Ike Villanueva Δ+35Apr 23, 2022 — L vs Philipe Lins Δ-18Feb 18, 2023 — W vs William Knight Δ+18Jul 8, 2023 — L vs Vitor Petrino Δ-16Feb 10, 2024 — W vs Devin Clark Δ+18Jul 27, 2024 — L vs Modestas Bukauskas Δ-19Jul 19, 2025 — L vs Jimmy Crute Δ-14 13701409144814861525 202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":93.5,"elo":1474,"date":"2018-02-24","opp":"Sam Alvey","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":1,"x":88,"y":140.3,"elo":1440,"date":"2018-09-15","opp":"Magomed Ankalaev","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":2,"x":310.9,"y":181.1,"elo":1410,"date":"2020-08-22","opp":"Mike Rodriguez","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":3,"x":359.5,"y":129.6,"elo":1448,"date":"2021-01-23","opp":"Khalil Rountree Jr.","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":4,"x":408.1,"y":81.8,"elo":1483,"date":"2021-06-26","opp":"Ike Villanueva","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":5,"x":503,"y":106.1,"elo":1465,"date":"2022-04-23","opp":"Philipe Lins","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":6,"x":597.9,"y":81.4,"elo":1483,"date":"2023-02-18","opp":"William Knight","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":642,"y":103.5,"elo":1467,"date":"2023-07-08","opp":"Vitor Petrino","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":8,"x":710.5,"y":78.9,"elo":1485,"date":"2024-02-10","opp":"Devin Clark","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":763.4,"y":104.3,"elo":1466,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"Modestas Bukauskas","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":10,"x":876,"y":124.1,"elo":1452,"date":"2025-07-19","opp":"Jimmy Crute","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 19, 2025 Jimmy Crute L -14
Jul 27, 2024 Modestas Bukauskas L -19
Feb 10, 2024 Devin Clark W +18
Jul 8, 2023 Vitor Petrino L -16
Feb 18, 2023 William Knight W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.94 avg 3.66
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
55% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.82 avg 3.38
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.13 avg 0.72
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
20% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
53% avg 75%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
0 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
25%
1 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
75% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (75%) 3
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1514
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.9
actual -1 vs expected