Valter Walker vs Thomas Petersen — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 11
- 1light heavyweight MainMagomed AnkalaevvsBogdan Guskov
- 2flyweightSteve ErcegvsRamazan Temirov
- 4Not linkedlightweightMagomed ZaynukovvsDamian Rzepecki
- 5heavyweightRizvan KunievvsTyrell Fortune
- 6Not linkedwelterweightAbubakar VagaevvsSaygid Izagakhmaev
- 8Not linkedlight heavyweightDustin JacobyvsMuhammad Saidov
- 9welterweightSantiago PonzinibbiovsSam Patterson
- 10lightweightIsmael BonfimvsAxel Sola
- 11Not linkedlight heavyweightMagomed TuchalovvsBrendson Ribeiro
- 12lightweightNurullo AlievvsMike Davis
- 13Not linkedbantamweightCody GibsonvsAbdul Hussein
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Valter Walker 54.8% · Thomas Petersen 45.2%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Valter Walker 63.8% · Thomas Petersen 36.2%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
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Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 6
Notable
Has never been finished — the only loss went to the scorecards.
On a 5-fight win streak.
Tale of the tape
| 5-1-0 | UFC record | 3-4-0 |
| KO 0 · Sub 5 | Finishes | KO 0 · Sub 0 |
| +5 | Streak | -1 |
| 28 | Age | 31 |
| 6'6" 198 cm | Height | 6'1" 185 cm |
| 78" 198 cm | Reach | 74" 188 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Southpaw |
| 1608 | Global Elo | 1483 |
| 1562 | Elo rating | 1435 |
Valter Walker — Notable ▼
- 5-fight UFC win streak
- Top 5 · heavyweightSubmission Attempts per 15 Min
- 1Valter Walker3.59
- 2Jailton Almeida1.64
- 3Ryan Spann1.58
- 4Tom Aspinall1.31
- 5Alexandr Romanov0.86
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- Has never been finished — durability signal
Thomas Petersen — Notable ▼
Valter Walker — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 48 landed total · career
- Head 50%
- Body 19%
- Leg 31%
- Distance 71%
- Clinch 10%
- Ground 19%
Thomas Petersen — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 225 landed total · career
- Head 64%
- Body 27%
- Leg 8%
- Distance 75%
- Clinch 7%
- Ground 18%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Brando Pericic11.00
- 2Josh Hokit10.28
- 3Steven Asplund7.65
- 4Tom Aspinall7.63
- 5Sean Sharaf7.50
- 1Louie Sutherland69%
- 2Mario Pinto69%
- 3Tom Aspinall68%
- 4Tallison Teixeira67%
- 5Josh Hokit64%
- 1Jailton Almeida1.32
- 2Mario Pinto1.88
- 3Louie Sutherland1.95
- 4Alexandr Romanov2.13
- 5Marcus Buchecha2.15
- 1Ciryl Gane61%
- 2Mario Pinto59%
- 3Brando Pericic58%
- 4Mick Parkin58%
- 5Tanner Boser58%
- 1Jailton Almeida5.57
- 2Valter Walker5.39
- 3Curtis Blaydes5.04
- 4Mario Pinto4.62
- 5Louie Sutherland4.49
- 1Robelis Despaigne100%
- 2Tom Aspinall80%
- 3Tanner Boser75%
- 4Valter Walker69%
- 5Hamdy Abdelwahab65%
- 1Tom Aspinall100%
- 2Mario Pinto100%
- 3Valter Walker100%
- 4Steven Asplund100%
- 5Hamdy Abdelwahab100%
- 1Valter Walker3.59
- 2Jailton Almeida1.64
- 3Ryan Spann1.58
- 4Tom Aspinall1.31
- 5Alexandr Romanov0.86
- 1Jailton Almeida10.49
- 2Louie Sutherland9.43
- 3Valter Walker7.97
- 4Mario Pinto7.37
- 5Alexandr Romanov7.32
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Thomas Petersen has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1541 vs 1506, 0 quality wins to 0.
Common opponents
1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- Jul 25, 2026
- Oct 25, 2025
- Jul 12, 2025
- Feb 15, 2025
- Aug 17, 2024
- Jul 25, 2026
- Apr 4, 2026
- Oct 11, 2025
- May 3, 2025
- Feb 1, 2025