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Aleksandar Rakic "Rocket"

Active #20 light heavyweight · age 34 · Orthodox · 6'4" 193 cm · 205 lb 93 kg · reach 78" 198 cm
Upcoming bout Sat, Aug 1
vs Marcin Tybura · UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
At a glance
  • 4-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • 33% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2017
Elo rating
1513
Global Elo 1560 ±36
Rank
#20
top 49% of division
UFC record
6-5-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 4
Streak
-4
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -14
Last fight
Oct 25, 2025
Loss by KO · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 58m
Avg fight time
10:41
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
1.4
Ground control
37m
Since last fight
8mo

Honest Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
Sep 2, 2017 — W vs Francimar Barroso Δ+32Jul 22, 2018 — W vs Justin Ledet Δ+33Dec 8, 2018 — W vs Devin Clark Δ+29Jun 1, 2019 — W vs Jimi Manuwa Δ+30Dec 21, 2019 — L vs Volkan Oezdemir Δ-34Aug 29, 2020 — W vs Anthony Smith Δ+17Mar 6, 2021 — W vs Thiago Santos Δ+17May 14, 2022 — L vs Jan Blachowicz Δ-18Apr 13, 2024 — L vs Jiri Prochazka Δ-19Oct 26, 2024 — L vs Magomed Ankalaev Δ-12Oct 25, 2025 — L vs Azamat Murzakanov Δ-14 1450147515001525155015751600 2019202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":336.4,"elo":1485,"date":"2017-09-02","opp":"Francimar Barroso","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":1,"x":168.2,"y":265.8,"elo":1518,"date":"2018-07-22","opp":"Justin Ledet","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":201.8,"y":204.6,"elo":1546,"date":"2018-12-08","opp":"Devin Clark","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":244.2,"y":141.6,"elo":1576,"date":"2019-06-01","opp":"Jimi Manuwa","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":293.3,"y":214.6,"elo":1542,"date":"2019-12-21","opp":"Volkan Oezdemir","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":5,"x":354.3,"y":179,"elo":1558,"date":"2020-08-29","opp":"Anthony Smith","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":400,"y":143.1,"elo":1575,"date":"2021-03-06","opp":"Thiago Santos","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":505.1,"y":180.7,"elo":1558,"date":"2022-05-14","opp":"Jan Blachowicz","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":8,"x":674.5,"y":220.3,"elo":1539,"date":"2024-04-13","opp":"Jiri Prochazka","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":9,"x":721.9,"y":245.3,"elo":1527,"date":"2024-10-26","opp":"Magomed Ankalaev","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":10,"x":810,"y":276.2,"elo":1513,"date":"2025-10-25","opp":"Azamat Murzakanov","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 25, 2025 Azamat Murzakanov L -14
Oct 26, 2024 Magomed Ankalaev L -12
Apr 13, 2024 Jiri Prochazka L -19
May 14, 2022 Jan Blachowicz L -18
Mar 6, 2021 Thiago Santos W +17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
2 / 6
Finish rate
KO
2
33% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
4
67% of wins
KO: 2 (33%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 4 (67%) 4
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
2 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 485 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
52% Head
  • Head 52%
  • Body 16%
  • Leg 32%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
67% Distance
  • Distance 67%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 24%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
60%
of losses by finish
3 of 5
3 KO/TKO 0 Sub 2 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1638
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
2
of 6 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Thiago Santos
Elo 1622 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
5.3
+0.7 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 11 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1535
1650
Notable wins
Thiago Santos 1622 Anthony Smith 1604

Top light heavyweight

See full rankings →
Carlos Ulberg C
#1 · Elo 1670
Magomed Ankalaev
#2 · Elo 1654
Azamat Murzakanov
#3 · Elo 1611
Navajo Stirling
#4 · Elo 1604
Paulo Costa
#5 · Elo 1592
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Aleksandar Rakic on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.