✓ Nurullo Aliev won · by Decision · R3
lightweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Jul 25, 2026 · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
- 1light heavyweight MainMagomed AnkalaevvsBogdan Guskov
- 2flyweightSteve ErcegvsRamazan Temirov
- 4Not linkedlightweightMagomed ZaynukovvsDamian Rzepecki
- 5heavyweightRizvan KunievvsTyrell Fortune
- 6Not linkedwelterweightAbubakar VagaevvsSaygid Izagakhmaev
- 7heavyweightValter WalkervsThomas Petersen
- 8Not linkedlight heavyweightDustin JacobyvsMuhammad Saidov
- 9welterweightSantiago PonzinibbiovsSam Patterson
- 10lightweightIsmael BonfimvsAxel Sola
- 11Not linkedlight heavyweightMagomed TuchalovvsBrendson Ribeiro
- 13Not linkedbantamweightCody GibsonvsAbdul Hussein
Final result · recorded Jul 25, 2026
Nurullo Aliev
defeated Mike Davis by Decision in round 3
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Nurullo Aliev 60.3% · Mike Davis 39.7%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Nurullo Aliev 49.4% · Mike Davis 50.6%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
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Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 6
Tale of the tape
| 4-0-0 | UFC record | 5-3-0 |
| KO 0 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 2 · Sub 1 |
| +4 | Streak | -1 |
| 25 | Age | 33 |
| 5'10" 178 cm | Height | 6'0" 183 cm |
| 72" 183 cm | Reach | 72" 183 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1613 | Global Elo | 1572 |
| 1587 | Elo rating | 1530 |
Nurullo Aliev — Notable ▼
At a glance
- 4-fight UFC win streak — still undefeated
- Top 5 · lightweightControl Time per 15 Minutes
- 1Grant Dawson9.76
- 2Nurullo Aliev8.80
- 3Benoit Saint Denis7.08
- 4Terrance McKinney6.77
- 5Claudio Puelles6.69
- Top 5 · lightweightLowest Strikes Absorbed
- 1Fares Ziam1.58
- 2Kaue Fernandes1.63
- 3Nurullo Aliev1.67
- 4Arman Tsarukyan1.80
- 5Joe Solecki1.90
Mike Davis — Notable ▼
At a glance
- 60% of wins by KO or submission
Nurullo Aliev — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 118 landed total · career
Targets head · body · leg
82% Head
- Head 82%
- Body 14%
- Leg 4%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
63% Distance
- Distance 63%
- Clinch 8%
- Ground 30%
Mike Davis — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 417 landed total · career
Targets head · body · leg
63% Head
- Head 63%
- Body 28%
- Leg 9%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
72% Distance
- Distance 72%
- Clinch 8%
- Ground 20%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
1.97
Top 5 · lightweight
Strikes Landed per Minute
- 1Terrance McKinney7.95
- 2Esteban Ribovics7.41
- 3Gauge Young7.00
- 4Billy Quarantillo6.80
- 5King Green6.59
div avg 4.53
42%
Top 5 · lightweight
Striking Accuracy
- 1Benoit Saint Denis58%
- 2Marquel Mederos58%
- 3Quillan Salkilld58%
- 4Justin Gaethje58%
- 5Anshul Jubli57%
div avg 51%
1.67
Top 5 · lightweight
Lowest Strikes Absorbed
- 1Fares Ziam1.58
- 2Kaue Fernandes1.63
- 3Nurullo Aliev1.67
- 4Arman Tsarukyan1.80
- 5Joe Solecki1.90
div avg 3.76
56%
Top 5 · lightweight
Striking Defense
- 1Matheus Camilo67%
- 2Fares Ziam64%
- 3Nasrat Haqparast63%
- 4Ilia Topuria62%
- 5King Green62%
div avg 53%
3.50
Top 5 · lightweight
Takedowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Quillan Salkilld5.74
- 2Mateusz Gamrot5.08
- 3Matheus Camilo4.16
- 4Benoit Saint Denis4.15
- 5Grant Dawson3.62
div avg 1.86
58%
Top 5 · lightweight
Takedown Accuracy
- 1Kaue Fernandes100%
- 2Rafael Fiziev71%
- 3Manuel Torres67%
- 4Esteban Ribovics67%
- 5Rongzhu63%
div avg 37%
80%
Top 5 · lightweight
Takedown Defense
- 1Trey Ogden100%
- 2Ottman Azaitar100%
- 3Anshul Jubli100%
- 4Ilia Topuria95%
- 5Gauge Young92%
div avg 72%
0.50
Top 5 · lightweight
Submission Attempts per 15 Min
- 1Charles Oliveira2.59
- 2Terrance McKinney2.18
- 3Chase Hooper2.05
- 4Benoit Saint Denis1.73
- 5Jim Miller1.72
div avg 0.65
9
Top 5 · lightweight
Control Time per 15 Minutes
- 1Grant Dawson9.76
- 2Nurullo Aliev8.80
- 3Benoit Saint Denis7.08
- 4Terrance McKinney6.77
- 5Claudio Puelles6.69
div avg 4
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Nurullo Aliev
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Mike Davis
finished 33%
1 of 3 losses
Mike Davis
60% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 1
can finish?
Nurullo Aliev
finished —
no losses
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1536 (Nurullo Aliev) vs 1531 (Mike Davis).
Nurullo Aliev red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1536
UFC level Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win
Mike Davis
Elo 1588 at fight time
Expected wins
2.0
+2.0 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career
· 4 fights
1487 1588
Mike Davis blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1531
UFC level Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win
Natan Levy
Elo 1522 at fight time
Expected wins
4.2
+0.8 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career
· 8 fights
1593 1584
Corner A recent form
Nurullo Aliev
- Jul 25, 2026
- Nov 22, 2025
- Jan 11, 2025
- Feb 25, 2023
Corner B recent form
Mike Davis
- Jul 25, 2026
- Jul 12, 2025
- Feb 1, 2025
- Mar 16, 2024
- Oct 1, 2022
Source
Per-fighter stats and bout records from
Nurullo Aliev & Mike Davis on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice.
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