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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Notable

Krylov

Finishes 83% of wins (5 KO · 5 SUB; 50% of wins end in round 1).

Tale of the tape

12-10-0 UFC record 3-0-0
KO 5 · Sub 5 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 2
-1 Streak +3
34 Age 25
6'3" 191 cm Height 6'2" 188 cm
77" 196 cm Reach 78" 198 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1569 Global Elo 1579
1520 Elo rating 1553
Nikita Krylov — Notable
At a glance
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev — Notable
At a glance

Nikita Krylov — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 689 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
59% Head
  • Head 59%
  • Body 25%
  • Leg 16%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
59% Distance
  • Distance 59%
  • Clinch 23%
  • Ground 18%

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 19 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
95% Head
  • Head 95%
  • Body 5%
  • Leg 0%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
63% Ground
  • Distance 37%
  • Clinch 0%
  • Ground 63%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.38
5.35
div avg 4.76
54%
58%
div avg 51%
2.75
2.25
div avg 4.12
48%
58%
div avg 52%
2.19
12.68
div avg 1.35
38%
75%
div avg 39%
53%
div avg 71%
1.14
8.45
div avg 0.58
5
10
div avg 2

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Nikita Krylov
83% finish rate
KO 5 · Sub 5
can finish?
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
finished
no losses
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
100% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 2
can finish?
Nikita Krylov
finished 80%
8 of 10 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Nikita Krylov has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1605 vs 1453, 1 quality wins to 0.

Nikita Krylov red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1605
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 12 UFC wins
Toughest win
Ryan Spann
Elo 1614 at fight time
Expected wins
10.5
+1.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 22 fights
1470
1668
Notable wins
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1453
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Julius Walker
Elo 1476 at fight time
Expected wins
1.8
+1.2 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1414
1476
Corner A recent form
Nikita Krylov
Corner B recent form
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Nikita Krylov & Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.