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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

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By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Tale of the tape

5-3-0 UFC record 3-0-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 Finishes KO 2 · Sub 0
+1 Streak +3
35 Age 31
6'2" 188 cm Height 6'3" 191 cm
78" 198 cm Reach 78" 198 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1579 Global Elo 1594
1534 Elo rating 1568
Abus Magomedov — Notable
At a glance
  • 60% of wins by KO or submission
  • 40% of wins finished in round 1
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Cam Rowston — Notable
At a glance

Abus Magomedov — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 239 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
56% Head
  • Head 56%
  • Body 31%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
87% Distance
  • Distance 87%
  • Clinch 3%
  • Ground 10%

Cam Rowston — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 148 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
80% Head
  • Head 80%
  • Body 9%
  • Leg 11%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
49% Distance
  • Distance 49%
  • Clinch 5%
  • Ground 46%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.06
5.52
div avg 4.30
49%
49%
div avg 51%
3.34
1.98
div avg 3.32
56%
54%
div avg 54%
2.50
1.68
div avg 1.77
59%
43%
div avg 48%
100%
100%
div avg 71%
0.58
0.00
div avg 0.54
4
7
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Abus Magomedov
60% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 2
can finish?
Cam Rowston
finished
no losses
Cam Rowston
67% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 0
can finish?
Abus Magomedov
finished 67%
2 of 3 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Abus Magomedov has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1581 vs 1534, 1 quality wins to 1.

Abus Magomedov red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1581
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win
Michel Pereira
Elo 1621 at fight time
Expected wins
3.5
+1.6 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 8 fights
1455
1568
Cam Rowston blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1534
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Andre Petroski
Elo 1607 at fight time
Expected wins
1.5
+1.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1607
1511
Corner A recent form
Abus Magomedov
Corner B recent form
Cam Rowston
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Abus Magomedov & Cam Rowston on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.