Abus Magomedov vs Cam Rowston — Honest Elo matchup
middleweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev
Oct 24, 2026 · Abu Dhabi, UAE
- 1featherweight MainAlexander VolkanovskivsMovsar Evloev
- 2bantamweightPetr YanvsMerab Dvalishvili
- 3flyweightLone'er KavanaghvsRamazan Temirov
- 9heavyweightAlexander VolkovvsRizvan Kuniev
- 11featherweightAaron PicovsLosene Keita
- 13light heavyweightAzamat MurzakanovvsDominick Reyes
- 15light heavyweightNikita KrylovvsAbdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
- 16lightweightGrant DawsonvsNurullo Aliev
- 17Not linkedmiddleweightAbubakar VagaevvsJacob Malkoun
- 18Not linkedbantamweightColby ThicknessevsAsaf Chopurov
- 19featherweightDaniel SantosvsBolaji Oki
- 20women's strawweightIasmin LucindovsNicolle Caliari
Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
Share your result
Pick how you'd like to share. Copy image works in most chat / social apps — copy here, then paste into the post directly. Download saves a PNG you can attach manually.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 10
Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev Main event · featherweight Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili bantamweight Lone'er Kavanagh vs Ramazan Temirov flyweight Alexander Volkov vs Rizvan Kuniev heavyweight Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita featherweight Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes light heavyweight Nikita Krylov vs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev light heavyweight Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev lightweight Daniel Santos vs Bolaji Oki featherweight Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari women's strawweight
Tale of the tape
| 5-3-0 | UFC record | 3-0-0 |
| KO 1 · Sub 2 | Finishes | KO 2 · Sub 0 |
| +1 | Streak | +3 |
| 36 | Age | 31 |
| 6'2" 188 cm | Height | 6'3" 191 cm |
| 78" 198 cm | Reach | 78" 198 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1579 | Global Elo | 1594 |
| 1534 | Elo rating | 1568 |
Abus Magomedov — Notable ▼
At a glance
- 60% of wins by KO or submission
- 40% of wins finished in round 1
- 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Cam Rowston — Notable ▼
At a glance
- 3-fight UFC win streak — still undefeated
- Top 5 · middleweightControl Time per 15 Minutes
- 1Khamzat Chimaev8.48
- 2Cam Rowston7.18
- 3Jacob Malkoun7.11
- 4Anthony Hernandez6.99
- 5Ryan Loder6.78
- 67% of wins by KO/TKO
- 33% of wins finished in round 1
Abus Magomedov — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 239 landed total · career
Targets head · body · leg
56% Head
- Head 56%
- Body 31%
- Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
87% Distance
- Distance 87%
- Clinch 3%
- Ground 10%
Cam Rowston — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 148 landed total · career
Targets head · body · leg
80% Head
- Head 80%
- Body 9%
- Leg 11%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
49% Distance
- Distance 49%
- Clinch 5%
- Ground 46%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
3.06
Top 5 · middleweight
Strikes Landed per Minute
- 1Ryan Gandra10.00
- 2Yousri Belgaroui8.35
- 3Jackson Mcvey7.14
- 4Marco Tulio7.07
- 5Gilbert Urbina6.68
div avg 4.55
49%
Top 5 · middleweight
Striking Accuracy
- 1Damian Pinas71%
- 2Ryan Loder69%
- 3Yousri Belgaroui65%
- 4Shara Magomedov63%
- 5Bo Nickal62%
div avg 52%
3.34
Top 5 · middleweight
Lowest Strikes Absorbed
- 1Michael Page1.40
- 2Donte Johnson1.82
- 3Yousri Belgaroui1.93
- 4Cam Rowston1.98
- 5Bo Nickal2.00
div avg 3.30
56%
Top 5 · middleweight
Striking Defense
- 1Yousri Belgaroui70%
- 2Ismail Naurdiev64%
- 3Donte Johnson63%
- 4Michael Page63%
- 5Ozzy Diaz62%
div avg 54%
2.50
Top 5 · middleweight
Takedowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Jacob Malkoun5.39
- 2Khamzat Chimaev5.32
- 3Anthony Hernandez5.09
- 4Andre Muniz4.22
- 5Ikram Aliskerov3.66
div avg 1.53
59%
Top 5 · middleweight
Takedown Accuracy
- 1Yousri Belgaroui100%
- 2Ateba Gautier100%
- 3Donte Johnson100%
- 4Robert Bryczek100%
- 5Ikram Aliskerov77%
div avg 44%
100%
Top 5 · middleweight
Takedown Defense
- 1Ikram Aliskerov100%
- 2Bo Nickal100%
- 3Ateba Gautier100%
- 4Cam Rowston100%
- 5Baisangur Susurkaev100%
div avg 75%
0.58
Top 5 · middleweight
Submission Attempts per 15 Min
- 1Wes Schultz4.85
- 2Julian Marquez2.67
- 3Robert Valentin2.54
- 4Bo Nickal1.47
- 5Kyle Daukaus1.43
div avg 0.46
4
Top 5 · middleweight
Control Time per 15 Minutes
- 1Khamzat Chimaev8.48
- 2Cam Rowston7.18
- 3Jacob Malkoun7.11
- 4Anthony Hernandez6.99
- 5Ryan Loder6.78
div avg 3
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Abus Magomedov
60% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 2
can finish?
Cam Rowston
finished —
no losses
Cam Rowston
67% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 0
can finish?
Abus Magomedov
finished 67%
2 of 3 losses
Strength of schedule in UFC
Abus Magomedov has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1581 vs 1534, 1 quality wins to 1.
Abus Magomedov red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1581
UFC level Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win
Michel Pereira
Elo 1621 at fight time
Expected wins
3.5
+1.6 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career
· 8 fights
1455 1568
Notable wins
Cam Rowston blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1534
UFC level Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Andre Petroski
Elo 1607 at fight time
Expected wins
1.5
+1.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career
· 3 fights
1607 1511
Notable wins
Corner A recent form
Abus Magomedov
- Jun 27, 2026
- Oct 4, 2025
- Apr 26, 2025
- Oct 26, 2024
- May 18, 2024
Corner B recent form
Cam Rowston
- May 2, 2026
- Jan 31, 2026
- Sep 27, 2025
Source
Per-fighter stats and bout records from
Abus Magomedov & Cam Rowston on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice.
Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.