Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 12
- 1featherweight MainAlexander VolkanovskivsMovsar Evloev
- 2bantamweightPetr YanvsMerab Dvalishvili
- 3flyweightLone'er KavanaghvsRamazan Temirov
- 9heavyweightAlexander VolkovvsRizvan Kuniev
- 13light heavyweightAzamat MurzakanovvsDominick Reyes
- 14middleweightAbus MagomedovvsCam Rowston
- 15light heavyweightNikita KrylovvsAbdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
- 16lightweightGrant DawsonvsNurullo Aliev
- 17Not linkedmiddleweightAbubakar VagaevvsJacob Malkoun
- 18Not linkedbantamweightColby ThicknessevsAsaf Chopurov
- 19featherweightDaniel SantosvsBolaji Oki
- 20women's strawweightIasmin LucindovsNicolle Caliari
Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
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Independent UFC analytics
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Other fights on this card · 10
Notable
Has never been finished — the only loss went to the scorecards.
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Tale of the tape
| 1-1-0 | UFC record | 1-1-0 |
| KO 0 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 1 · Sub 0 |
| +1 | Streak | +1 |
| 30 | Age | 28 |
| 5'8" 173 cm | Height | 5'7" 170 cm |
| 70" 178 cm | Reach | 72" 183 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1520 | Global Elo | 1527 |
| 1475 | Elo rating | 1472 |
Aaron Pico — Notable ▼
Losene Keita — Notable ▼
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- Has never been finished — durability signal
- 100% of wins by KO/TKO
- 100% of wins finished in round 1
Aaron Pico — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 113 landed total · career
- Head 76%
- Body 14%
- Leg 10%
- Distance 86%
- Clinch 8%
- Ground 6%
Losene Keita — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 70 landed total · career
- Head 74%
- Body 21%
- Leg 4%
- Distance 89%
- Clinch 0%
- Ground 11%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Tommy Mcmillen12.80
- 2Hyder Amil7.28
- 3Marwan Rahiki6.87
- 4Luke Riley6.67
- 5Michael Aswell Jr.6.22
- 1Erik Silva67%
- 2Isaac Dulgarian64%
- 3Gabriel Santos61%
- 4Bogdan Grad59%
- 5Luke Riley59%
- 1Yadier Del Valle0.90
- 2Pat Sabatini1.16
- 3Jordan Leavitt1.63
- 4Isaac Dulgarian1.65
- 5Erik Silva1.66
- 1Felipe Lima68%
- 2Miles Johns67%
- 3Mairon Santos66%
- 4Yadier Del Valle66%
- 5Youssef Zalal65%
- 1Bogdan Grad5.33
- 2Movsar Evloev4.78
- 3Gabriel Miranda4.75
- 4Isaac Dulgarian4.57
- 5Pat Sabatini4.27
- 1Tommy Mcmillen100%
- 2Yadier Del Valle100%
- 3Gaston Bolanos75%
- 4Erik Silva75%
- 5Jean Silva67%
- 1Fernando Padilla100%
- 2Jose Aldo92%
- 3Kevin Vallejos90%
- 4Felipe Lima90%
- 5Sean Woodson88%
- 1Westin Wilson7.87
- 2Yadier Del Valle2.71
- 3Gabriel Miranda1.90
- 4Isaac Dulgarian1.83
- 5Daniel Pineda1.54
- 1Pat Sabatini10.65
- 2Isaac Dulgarian10.58
- 3Bogdan Grad6.76
- 4Jordan Leavitt5.97
- 5Darren Elkins5.51
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1591 (Aaron Pico) vs 1600 (Losene Keita).
- Apr 11, 2026
- Aug 16, 2025
- Sep 5, 2026
- Mar 21, 2026