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bantamweight
Other bouts 8
Fight Card
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev
Oct 24, 2026 · Abu Dhabi, UAE
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Corner A
Petr Yan C
#3 12-4-0
Elo 1648
VS
Corner B
Merab Dvalishvili
#1 14-3-0
Elo 1677

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Petr Yan 50.0%
Corner B Merab Dvalishvili 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 8
Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev Main event · featherweight Lone'er Kavanagh vs Ramazan Temirov flyweight Arnold Allen vs Aaron Pico featherweight Dominick Reyes vs Azamat Murzakanov light heavyweight Abus Magomedov vs Cam Rowston middleweight Nikita Krylov vs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev light heavyweight Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev lightweight Alexander Volkov vs Rizvan Kuniev heavyweight

Notable

Yan

Has never been finished — all 4 losses went to the scorecards.

Yan

5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Dvalishvili

5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Yan

Title-fight record 3–2.

Dvalishvili

Title-fight record 4–1.

Tale of the tape

12-4-0 UFC record 14-3-0
KO 4 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 1
+4 Streak -1
33 Age 35
5'7" 170 cm Height 5'6" 168 cm
67" 170 cm Reach 68" 173 cm
Switch Stance Orthodox
1704 Global Elo 1718
1648 Elo rating 1677
Petr Yan — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 4-fight UFC win streak
  • 2 successful title defenses
  • Fight of the Night in last fight
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
Merab Dvalishvili — Notable ▼
At a glance

Petr Yan — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1456 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
69% Head
  • Head 69%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 12%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
75% Distance
  • Distance 75%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 13%

Merab Dvalishvili — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1322 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
67% Head
  • Head 67%
  • Body 17%
  • Leg 16%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
64% Distance
  • Distance 64%
  • Clinch 15%
  • Ground 21%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.16
4.42
div avg 4.32
55%
42%
div avg 50%
4.24
2.80
div avg 3.34
60%
54%
div avg 58%
1.70
5.97
div avg 1.78
49%
35%
div avg 37%
86%
76%
div avg 70%
0.11
0.35
div avg 0.40
2
5
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Petr Yan
33% finish rate
KO 4 · Sub 0
can finish?
Merab Dvalishvili
finished 33%
1 of 3 losses
Merab Dvalishvili
14% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 1
can finish?
Petr Yan
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1670 (Petr Yan) vs 1680 (Merab Dvalishvili).

Petr Yan red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1670
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
8
of 12 UFC wins
Toughest win
Merab Dvalishvili
Elo 1741 at fight time
Expected wins
8.1
+3.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 16 fights
1499
1741
Notable wins
Merab Dvalishvili 1741 Deiveson Figueiredo 1694 Song Yadong 1673 Jose Aldo 1667 Cory Sandhagen 1663
Merab Dvalishvili blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1680
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
8
of 14 UFC wins
Toughest win
Sean O'Malley
Elo 1691 at fight time
Expected wins
8.2
+5.8 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 17 fights
1500
1681
Notable wins
Sean O'Malley ×2 1691 Cory Sandhagen 1691 Jose Aldo 1687 Henry Cejudo 1684 Umar Nurmagomedov 1670

Common opponents

5 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    Cory Sandhagen
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    Decision - Unanimous
    Oct 30, 2021
    Oct 4, 2025
  • L
    Sean O'Malley
    W
    Decision - Split
    Submission · R3
    Oct 22, 2022
    Jun 7, 2025
  • L
    Sean O'Malley
    W
    Decision - Split
    Decision - Unanimous
    Oct 22, 2022
    Sep 14, 2024
  • W
    Jose Aldo
    W
    KO/TKO · R5
    Decision - Unanimous
    Jul 11, 2020
    Aug 20, 2022
  • W
    John Dodson
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    Decision - Unanimous
    Feb 23, 2019
    Aug 15, 2020
Corner A recent form
Petr Yan
Corner B recent form
Merab Dvalishvili
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Petr Yan & Merab Dvalishvili on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.