Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 12
- 1featherweight MainAlexander VolkanovskivsMovsar Evloev
- 3flyweightLone'er KavanaghvsRamazan Temirov
- 9heavyweightAlexander VolkovvsRizvan Kuniev
- 11featherweightAaron PicovsLosene Keita
- 13light heavyweightAzamat MurzakanovvsDominick Reyes
- 14middleweightAbus MagomedovvsCam Rowston
- 15light heavyweightNikita KrylovvsAbdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
- 16lightweightGrant DawsonvsNurullo Aliev
- 17Not linkedmiddleweightAbubakar VagaevvsJacob Malkoun
- 18Not linkedbantamweightColby ThicknessevsAsaf Chopurov
- 19featherweightDaniel SantosvsBolaji Oki
- 20women's strawweightIasmin LucindovsNicolle Caliari
The result may differ from Pure Elo because in Honest Elo mode the opening market line carries information the pure-Elo model can't see — camp news, weight cuts, recent form. Not betting advice.
See methodologyHonest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
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Other fights on this card · 10
Notable
Has never been finished — all 4 losses went to the scorecards.
5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
Title-fight record 3–2.
Title-fight record 4–1.
Tale of the tape
| 12-4-0 | UFC record | 14-3-0 |
| KO 4 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 1 · Sub 1 |
| +4 | Streak | -1 |
| 33 | Age | 35 |
| 5'7" 170 cm | Height | 5'6" 168 cm |
| 67" 170 cm | Reach | 68" 173 cm |
| Switch | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1704 | Global Elo | 1718 |
| 1648 | Elo rating | 1677 |
Petr Yan — Notable ▼
- 4-fight UFC win streak
- 2 successful title defenses
- Fight of the Night in last fight
- Has never been finished — durability signal
Merab Dvalishvili — Notable ▼
- 3 successful title defenses
- Top 5 · bantamweightTakedowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Merab Dvalishvili5.97
- 2Raul Rosas Jr.5.34
- 3Rafael Estevam5.02
- 4Brady Hiestand4.13
- 5Cristian Quinonez4.12
- Fight of the Night in last fight
- Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
Petr Yan — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1456 landed total · career
- Head 69%
- Body 19%
- Leg 12%
- Distance 75%
- Clinch 12%
- Ground 13%
Merab Dvalishvili — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1322 landed total · career
- Head 67%
- Body 17%
- Leg 16%
- Distance 64%
- Clinch 15%
- Ground 21%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Victor Henry7.17
- 2Payton Talbott6.07
- 3Sean O'Malley5.97
- 4Adrian Yanez5.92
- 5Davey Grant5.58
- 1Changho Lee65%
- 2Sean O'Malley60%
- 3Nathan Fletcher60%
- 4Bryce Mitchell59%
- 5Payton Talbott59%
- 1Montel Jackson1.39
- 2Bryce Mitchell1.51
- 3Jafel Filho1.52
- 4Suyoung You1.68
- 5Elijah Smith1.70
- 1David Martinez72%
- 2Suyoung You70%
- 3Aiemann Zahabi68%
- 4Santiago Luna68%
- 5Javid Basharat64%
- 1Merab Dvalishvili5.97
- 2Raul Rosas Jr.5.34
- 3Rafael Estevam5.02
- 4Brady Hiestand4.13
- 5Cristian Quinonez4.12
- 1Elijah Smith75%
- 2Santiago Luna71%
- 3Benardo Sopaj60%
- 4Montel Jackson60%
- 5Rinya Nakamura57%
- 1David Martinez100%
- 2Rinya Nakamura100%
- 3Quang Le100%
- 4Xiao Long88%
- 5Caolan Loughran88%
- 1Toshiomi Kazama1.89
- 2Jafel Filho1.84
- 3Saimon Oliveira1.67
- 4Colby Thicknesse1.67
- 5Da'Mon Blackshear1.48
- 1Bryce Mitchell8.25
- 2Rafael Estevam7.79
- 3Rinya Nakamura6.94
- 4Raul Rosas Jr.6.68
- 5Brady Hiestand6.54
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1670 (Petr Yan) vs 1680 (Merab Dvalishvili).
Common opponents
5 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- Dec 6, 2025
- Jul 26, 2025
- Nov 23, 2024
- Mar 9, 2024
- Mar 11, 2023
- Dec 6, 2025
- Oct 4, 2025
- Jun 7, 2025
- Jan 18, 2025
- Sep 14, 2024