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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Tale of the tape

3-2-0 UFC record 3-0-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 2 · Sub 0
-1 Streak +3
27 Age 29
5'6" 168 cm Height 5'4" 163 cm
67" 170 cm Reach 63" 160 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1522 Global Elo 1594
1467 Elo rating 1568
Lone'Er Kavanagh — Notable
At a glance
  • Fight of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
Ramazan Temirov — Notable
At a glance

Lone'Er Kavanagh — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 321 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
57% Head
  • Head 57%
  • Body 25%
  • Leg 18%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
80% Distance
  • Distance 80%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 12%

Ramazan Temirov — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 105 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
81% Head
  • Head 81%
  • Body 17%
  • Leg 2%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
87% Distance
  • Distance 87%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 5%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.10
4.73
div avg 3.86
50%
41%
div avg 46%
3.94
3.65
div avg 3.26
54%
62%
div avg 57%
1.15
0.68
div avg 1.56
46%
50%
div avg 38%
83%
100%
div avg 63%
0.38
0.00
div avg 0.81
2
0
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Lone'Er Kavanagh
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Ramazan Temirov
finished
no losses
Ramazan Temirov
67% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 0
can finish?
Lone'Er Kavanagh
finished 100%
2 of 2 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1537 (Lone'Er Kavanagh) vs 1530 (Ramazan Temirov).

Lone'Er Kavanagh red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1537
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Brandon Moreno
Elo 1620 at fight time
Expected wins
2.5
+0.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 5 fights
1500
1565
Ramazan Temirov blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1530
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Steve Erceg
Elo 1548 at fight time
Expected wins
1.5
+1.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1508
1548

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • L
    W
    KO/TKO · R2
    Decision - Unanimous
    Aug 23, 2025
    Mar 1, 2025
Corner A recent form
Lone'Er Kavanagh
Corner B recent form
Ramazan Temirov
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Lone'Er Kavanagh & Ramazan Temirov on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.