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Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev — Honest Elo matchup

featherweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev
Oct 24, 2026 · Abu Dhabi, UAE
View full event card
Corner A
Alexander Volkanovski C
#1 15-3-0
Elo 1697
VS
Corner B
Movsar Evloev
#2 10-0-0
Elo 1693

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Alexander Volkanovski 50.0%
Corner B Movsar Evloev 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 10
Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili bantamweight Lone'er Kavanagh vs Ramazan Temirov flyweight Alexander Volkov vs Rizvan Kuniev heavyweight Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita featherweight Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes light heavyweight Abus Magomedov vs Cam Rowston middleweight Nikita Krylov vs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev light heavyweight Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev lightweight Daniel Santos vs Bolaji Oki featherweight Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari women's strawweight

Notable

Evloev

Unbeaten in the UFC at 10–0.

Volkanovski

6 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Volkanovski

Title-fight record 8–3.

Tale of the tape

15-3-0 UFC record 10-0-0
KO 5 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 0
+2 Streak +10
38 Age 32
5'6" 168 cm Height 5'7" 170 cm
71" 180 cm Reach 72" 183 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1754 Global Elo 1719
1697 Elo rating 1693
Alexander Volkanovski — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 7 successful title defenses
  • Fight of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • UFC veteran since 2016
Movsar Evloev — Notable ▼
At a glance

Alexander Volkanovski — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1815 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
65% Head
  • Head 65%
  • Body 10%
  • Leg 25%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
76% Distance
  • Distance 76%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 15%

Movsar Evloev — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 625 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
77% Head
  • Head 77%
  • Body 15%
  • Leg 8%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
75% Distance
  • Distance 75%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 17%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.99
3.91
div avg 4.59
57%
48%
div avg 49%
3.31
2.80
div avg 3.37
59%
61%
div avg 57%
1.63
4.78
div avg 1.42
34%
53%
div avg 42%
69%
61%
div avg 65%
0.20
0.19
div avg 0.48
3
5
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Alexander Volkanovski
33% finish rate
KO 5 · Sub 0
can finish?
Movsar Evloev
finished —
no losses
Movsar Evloev
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Alexander Volkanovski
finished 67%
2 of 3 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Alexander Volkanovski has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1686 vs 1641, 11 quality wins to 3.

Alexander Volkanovski red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1686
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
11
of 15 UFC wins
Toughest win
Max Holloway
Elo 1745 at fight time
Expected wins
9.7
+5.3 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 18 fights
1474
1653
Notable wins
Max Holloway ×3 1745 Jose Aldo 1704 Yair Rodriguez 1695 Brian Ortega 1690 Darren Elkins 1666
Movsar Evloev blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1641
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
3
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win
Aljamain Sterling
Elo 1733 at fight time
Expected wins
5.2
+4.8 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 10 fights
1500
1692
Notable wins
Aljamain Sterling 1733 Lerone Murphy 1692 Arnold Allen 1684

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    Diego Lopes
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    Decision - Unanimous
    Jan 31, 2026
    May 6, 2023
Corner A recent form
Alexander Volkanovski
Corner B recent form
Movsar Evloev
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Alexander Volkanovski & Movsar Evloev on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.