Other bouts 8
- 2bantamweightPetr YanvsMerab Dvalishvili
- 3flyweightLone'er KavanaghvsRamazan Temirov
- 9featherweightArnold AllenvsAaron Pico
- 10light heavyweightDominick ReyesvsAzamat Murzakanov
- 11middleweightAbus MagomedovvsCam Rowston
- 12light heavyweightNikita KrylovvsAbdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
- 13lightweightGrant DawsonvsNurullo Aliev
- 14heavyweightAlexander VolkovvsRizvan Kuniev
Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
Share your result
Pick how you'd like to share. Copy image works in most chat / social apps — copy here, then paste into the post directly. Download saves a PNG you can attach manually.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 8
Notable
Unbeaten in the UFC at 10–0.
6 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
Title-fight record 8–3.
Tale of the tape
| 15-3-0 | UFC record | 10-0-0 |
| KO 5 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 0 · Sub 0 |
| +2 | Streak | +10 |
| 37 | Age | 32 |
| 5'6" 168 cm | Height | 5'7" 170 cm |
| 71" 180 cm | Reach | 72" 183 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1754 | Global Elo | 1719 |
| 1697 | Elo rating | 1693 |
Alexander Volkanovski — Notable ▼
- 7 successful title defenses
- Fight of the Night in last fight
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- UFC veteran since 2016
Movsar Evloev — Notable ▼
- 10-fight UFC win streak — still undefeated
- Top 5 · featherweightTakedowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Bogdan Grad5.33
- 2Jonathan Pearce5.02
- 3Movsar Evloev4.78
- 4Gabriel Miranda4.75
- 5Isaac Dulgarian4.57
Alexander Volkanovski — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1815 landed total · career
- Head 65%
- Body 10%
- Leg 25%
- Distance 76%
- Clinch 8%
- Ground 15%
Movsar Evloev — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 625 landed total · career
- Head 77%
- Body 15%
- Leg 8%
- Distance 75%
- Clinch 8%
- Ground 17%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Hyder Amil7.28
- 2Michael Aswell Jr.6.72
- 3Luke Riley6.67
- 4Fernando Padilla6.07
- 5Julian Erosa6.06
- 1Erik Silva67%
- 2Isaac Dulgarian64%
- 3Gabriel Santos61%
- 4Jack Jenkins60%
- 5Kai Kamaka Iii59%
- 1Yadier Del Valle0.90
- 2Pat Sabatini1.16
- 3Jordan Leavitt1.63
- 4Isaac Dulgarian1.65
- 5Erik Silva1.66
- 1Miles Johns67%
- 2Mairon Santos66%
- 3Yadier Del Valle66%
- 4Youssef Zalal65%
- 5Steve Garcia63%
- 1Bogdan Grad5.33
- 2Jonathan Pearce5.02
- 3Movsar Evloev4.78
- 4Gabriel Miranda4.75
- 5Isaac Dulgarian4.57
- 1Yadier Del Valle100%
- 2Gaston Bolanos75%
- 3Erik Silva75%
- 4Jean Silva71%
- 5Joanderson Brito67%
- 1Fernando Padilla100%
- 2Jose Aldo92%
- 3Kevin Vallejos90%
- 4Gabriel Santos88%
- 5Sean Woodson87%
- 1Westin Wilson7.87
- 2Yadier Del Valle2.71
- 3Gabriel Miranda1.90
- 4Isaac Dulgarian1.83
- 5Herbert Burns1.57
- 1Pat Sabatini10.65
- 2Isaac Dulgarian10.58
- 3Jonathan Pearce6.86
- 4Bogdan Grad6.76
- 5Jordan Leavitt5.97
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Alexander Volkanovski has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1686 vs 1641, 11 quality wins to 3.
Common opponents
1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- Jan 31, 2026
- Apr 12, 2025
- Feb 17, 2024
- Oct 21, 2023
- Jul 8, 2023
- Mar 21, 2026
- Dec 7, 2024
- Jan 20, 2024
- May 6, 2023
- Jun 4, 2022