Daniel Santos vs Bolaji Oki — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 12
- 1featherweight MainAlexander VolkanovskivsMovsar Evloev
- 2bantamweightPetr YanvsMerab Dvalishvili
- 3flyweightLone'er KavanaghvsRamazan Temirov
- 9heavyweightAlexander VolkovvsRizvan Kuniev
- 11featherweightAaron PicovsLosene Keita
- 13light heavyweightAzamat MurzakanovvsDominick Reyes
- 14middleweightAbus MagomedovvsCam Rowston
- 15light heavyweightNikita KrylovvsAbdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
- 16lightweightGrant DawsonvsNurullo Aliev
- 17Not linkedmiddleweightAbubakar VagaevvsJacob Malkoun
- 18Not linkedbantamweightColby ThicknessevsAsaf Chopurov
- 20women's strawweightIasmin LucindovsNicolle Caliari
Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
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Other fights on this card · 10
Notable
Cross-division matchup: the model gives Oki +43 Elo for a ~10 lb representative gap. Toggle it off to compare pure skill.
Both enter off a loss (May 2026 / Mar 2026).
Reach advantage of ~6".
Tale of the tape
| 4-2-0 | UFC record | 2-3-0 |
| KO 2 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 0 · Sub 0 |
| -1 | Streak | -2 |
| 31 | Age | 30 |
| 5'7" 170 cm | Height | 5'10" 178 cm |
| 67" 170 cm | Reach | 73" 185 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1577 | Global Elo | 1458 |
| 1527 | Elo rating | 1407 |
Daniel Santos — Notable ▼
- Fight of the Night in last fight
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- 50% of wins by KO/TKO
Bolaji Oki — Notable ▼
Daniel Santos — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 357 landed total · career
- Head 67%
- Body 22%
- Leg 11%
- Distance 76%
- Clinch 9%
- Ground 15%
Bolaji Oki — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 346 landed total · career
- Head 68%
- Body 23%
- Leg 9%
- Distance 90%
- Clinch 7%
- Ground 3%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Tommy Mcmillen12.80
- 2Hyder Amil7.28
- 3Marwan Rahiki6.87
- 4Luke Riley6.67
- 5Michael Aswell Jr.6.22
- 1Erik Silva67%
- 2Isaac Dulgarian64%
- 3Gabriel Santos61%
- 4Bogdan Grad59%
- 5Luke Riley59%
- 1Yadier Del Valle0.90
- 2Pat Sabatini1.16
- 3Jordan Leavitt1.63
- 4Isaac Dulgarian1.65
- 5Erik Silva1.66
- 1Felipe Lima68%
- 2Miles Johns67%
- 3Mairon Santos66%
- 4Yadier Del Valle66%
- 5Youssef Zalal65%
- 1Bogdan Grad5.33
- 2Movsar Evloev4.78
- 3Gabriel Miranda4.75
- 4Isaac Dulgarian4.57
- 5Pat Sabatini4.27
- 1Tommy Mcmillen100%
- 2Yadier Del Valle100%
- 3Gaston Bolanos75%
- 4Erik Silva75%
- 5Jean Silva67%
- 1Fernando Padilla100%
- 2Jose Aldo92%
- 3Kevin Vallejos90%
- 4Felipe Lima90%
- 5Sean Woodson88%
- 1Westin Wilson7.87
- 2Yadier Del Valle2.71
- 3Gabriel Miranda1.90
- 4Isaac Dulgarian1.83
- 5Daniel Pineda1.54
- 1Pat Sabatini10.65
- 2Isaac Dulgarian10.58
- 3Bogdan Grad6.76
- 4Jordan Leavitt5.97
- 5Darren Elkins5.51
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1531 (Daniel Santos) vs 1506 (Bolaji Oki).
- May 16, 2026
- Oct 4, 2025
- May 10, 2025
- Jun 3, 2023
- Oct 1, 2022
- Mar 14, 2026
- Sep 6, 2025
- May 31, 2025
- Sep 28, 2024
- Feb 10, 2024