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Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes — Honest Elo matchup

light heavyweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev
Oct 24, 2026 · Abu Dhabi, UAE
View full event card
Corner A
Azamat Murzakanov
#5 6-1-0
Elo 1611
VS
Corner B
Dominick Reyes
#7 10-5-0
Elo 1582

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Azamat Murzakanov 50.0%
Corner B Dominick Reyes 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 10
Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev Main event · featherweight Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili bantamweight Lone'er Kavanagh vs Ramazan Temirov flyweight Alexander Volkov vs Rizvan Kuniev heavyweight Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita featherweight Abus Magomedov vs Cam Rowston middleweight Nikita Krylov vs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev light heavyweight Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev lightweight Daniel Santos vs Bolaji Oki featherweight Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari women's strawweight

Notable

Murzakanov

Finishes 83% of wins (5 KO).

Reyes

Finishes 70% of wins (6 KO · 1 SUB; 60% of wins end in round 1).

Reyes

Reach advantage of ~6".

Tale of the tape

6-1-0 UFC record 10-5-0
KO 5 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 6 · Sub 1
-1 Streak +1
37 Age 36
5'10" 178 cm Height 6'4" 193 cm
71" 180 cm Reach 77" 196 cm
Southpaw Stance Southpaw
1644 Global Elo 1635
1611 Elo rating 1582
Azamat Murzakanov — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 83% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 33% of wins finished in round 1
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
  • Career-best 6-fight win streak
Dominick Reyes — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 70% of wins by KO or submission
  • 60% of wins finished in round 1
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
  • Career-best 6-fight win streak

Azamat Murzakanov — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 283 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
71% Head
  • Head 71%
  • Body 25%
  • Leg 4%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
69% Distance
  • Distance 69%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 24%

Dominick Reyes — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 588 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
56% Head
  • Head 56%
  • Body 24%
  • Leg 20%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
75% Distance
  • Distance 75%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 15%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.47
4.99
div avg 4.82
56%
54%
div avg 52%
3.29
3.40
div avg 3.84
56%
50%
div avg 54%
0.71
0.25
div avg 1.87
21%
29%
div avg 42%
89%
83%
div avg 68%
0.24
0.25
div avg 1.65
1
1
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Azamat Murzakanov
83% finish rate
KO 5 · Sub 0
can finish?
Dominick Reyes
finished 80%
4 of 5 losses
Dominick Reyes
70% finish rate
KO 6 · Sub 1
can finish?
Azamat Murzakanov
finished 100%
1 of 1 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Dominick Reyes has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1597 vs 1570, 3 quality wins to 0.

Azamat Murzakanov red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1570
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 6 UFC wins
Toughest win
Alonzo Menifield
Elo 1584 at fight time
Expected wins
3.8
+2.2 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 7 fights
1525
1623
Dominick Reyes blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1597
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
3
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win
Chris Weidman
Elo 1680 at fight time
Expected wins
7.7
+2.3 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 15 fights
1474
1576
Notable wins
Chris Weidman 1680 Ovince Saint Preux 1616 Nikita Krylov 1602

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    Dustin Jacoby
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    KO/TKO · R1
    Apr 15, 2023
    Jun 8, 2024
Corner A recent form
Azamat Murzakanov
Corner B recent form
Dominick Reyes
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Azamat Murzakanov & Dominick Reyes on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.