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Christian Leroy Duncan "CLD"

Active #19 middleweight · age 30 · Switch · 6'2" 188 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 79" 201 cm
Upcoming bout Sat, Jul 18
vs Jared Cannonier · UFC Fight Night Oklahoma
At a glance
  • 4-fight UFC win streak
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 71% of wins by KO/TKO
Elo rating
1562
Global Elo 1602 ±31
Rank
#19
top 26% of division
UFC record
7-2-0
KO 5 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
+4
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +54
Last fight
Mar 21, 2026
Win by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 30m
Avg fight time
10:03
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
3.0
Ground control
19m
Since last fight
3mo

Honest Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
Mar 18, 2023 — W vs Dusko Todorovic Δ+31Jun 17, 2023 — L vs Armen Petrosyan Δ-29Nov 18, 2023 — W vs Denis Tiuliulin Δ+28Mar 2, 2024 — W vs Claudio Ribeiro Δ+28Jul 27, 2024 — L vs Gregory Rodrigues Δ-25Mar 22, 2025 — W vs Andrey Pulyaev Δ+15Aug 9, 2025 — W vs Eryk Anders Δ+18Nov 8, 2025 — W vs Marco Tulio Δ+18Mar 21, 2026 — W vs Roman Dolidze Δ+18 14251450147515001525155015751600 202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":288.4,"elo":1492,"date":"2023-03-18","opp":"Dusko Todorovic","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":1,"x":149.6,"y":341.2,"elo":1463,"date":"2023-06-17","opp":"Armen Petrosyan","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":2,"x":250.5,"y":290.2,"elo":1491,"date":"2023-11-18","opp":"Denis Tiuliulin","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":319.3,"y":239.8,"elo":1518,"date":"2024-03-02","opp":"Claudio Ribeiro","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":4,"x":415.6,"y":285.1,"elo":1493,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"Gregory Rodrigues","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":5,"x":571.5,"y":258.6,"elo":1508,"date":"2025-03-22","opp":"Andrey Pulyaev","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":663.2,"y":224.9,"elo":1526,"date":"2025-08-09","opp":"Eryk Anders","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":722.9,"y":191.9,"elo":1544,"date":"2025-11-08","opp":"Marco Tulio","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":810,"y":159.9,"elo":1562,"date":"2026-03-21","opp":"Roman Dolidze","result":"W","delta":18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 21, 2026 Roman Dolidze W +18
Nov 8, 2025 Marco Tulio W +18
Aug 9, 2025 Eryk Anders W +18
Mar 22, 2025 Andrey Pulyaev W +15
Jul 27, 2024 Gregory Rodrigues L -25

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
71%
5 / 7
Finish rate
KO
5
71% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
29% of wins
KO: 5 (71%) 5 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (29%) 2
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
2 40%
R2
3 60%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 401 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
49% Head
  • Head 49%
  • Body 15%
  • Leg 36%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
76% Distance
  • Distance 76%
  • Clinch 16%
  • Ground 8%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Never been finished
All 2 losses went to the scorecards

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1566
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
1
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Roman Dolidze
Elo 1617 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
4.6
+2.4 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 9 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1482
1617
Notable wins
Roman Dolidze 1617

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1690
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Sean Strickland C
#3 · Elo 1657
Brendan Allen
#4 · Elo 1654
Nassourdine Imavov
#5 · Elo 1648
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Christian Leroy Duncan on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.