HonestElo
← heavyweight

Ilir Latifi

Inactive · Orthodox · 178 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1556 ±43
LCB 1501
Rank
—
—
UFC record
9-7-0
KO 3 · Sub 2 · Dec 4
Streak
-1
Δ90d -1 · Δ1y -1
Last fight
May 20, 2023
L by Decision

Elo history

16 fights · tap & drag
Apr 6, 2013 — L vs Gegard Mousasi Δ-29Mar 8, 2014 — W vs Cyrille Diabate Δ+38Jul 19, 2014 — W vs Chris Dempsey Δ+32Oct 4, 2014 — L vs Jan Blachowicz Δ-37Jul 18, 2015 — W vs Hans Stringer Δ+32Jan 17, 2016 — W vs Sean O'Connell Δ+17Mar 5, 2016 — W vs Gian Villante Δ+16Sep 3, 2016 — L vs Ryan Bader Δ-13Sep 9, 2017 — W vs Tyson Pedro Δ+16Feb 24, 2018 — W vs Ovince Saint Preux Δ+21Dec 29, 2018 — L vs Corey Anderson Δ-16Aug 10, 2019 — L vs Volkan Oezdemir Δ-20Feb 8, 2020 — L vs Derrick Lewis Δ-12Jun 5, 2021 — W vs Tanner Boser Δ+16Oct 1, 2022 — W vs Aleksei Oleinik Δ+16May 20, 2023 — L vs Rodrigo Nascimento Δ-18 14311482153215821633 20152017201920212023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":194,"elo":1471,"date":"2013-04-06","opp":"Gegard Mousasi","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":101.5,"y":154.4,"elo":1509,"date":"2014-03-08","opp":"Cyrille Diabate","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":2,"x":132.1,"y":120.5,"elo":1541,"date":"2014-07-19","opp":"Chris Dempsey","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":3,"x":149.9,"y":159.5,"elo":1504,"date":"2014-10-04","opp":"Jan Blachowicz","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":4,"x":216,"y":125.5,"elo":1536,"date":"2015-07-18","opp":"Hans Stringer","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":258.2,"y":107.6,"elo":1553,"date":"2016-01-17","opp":"Sean O'Connell","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":269.3,"y":91.3,"elo":1569,"date":"2016-03-05","opp":"Gian Villante","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":311.2,"y":105.4,"elo":1556,"date":"2016-09-03","opp":"Ryan Bader","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":8,"x":396.8,"y":88.1,"elo":1572,"date":"2017-09-09","opp":"Tyson Pedro","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":9,"x":435.5,"y":66,"elo":1593,"date":"2018-02-24","opp":"Ovince Saint Preux","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":10,"x":506.5,"y":83,"elo":1577,"date":"2018-12-29","opp":"Corey Anderson","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":11,"x":558.1,"y":104.5,"elo":1556,"date":"2019-08-10","opp":"Volkan Oezdemir","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":12,"x":600.1,"y":117.6,"elo":1544,"date":"2020-02-08","opp":"Derrick Lewis","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":13,"x":711.4,"y":101.4,"elo":1559,"date":"2021-06-05","opp":"Tanner Boser","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":14,"x":822.8,"y":84.2,"elo":1576,"date":"2022-10-01","opp":"Aleksei Oleinik","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":15,"x":876,"y":103.3,"elo":1558,"date":"2023-05-20","opp":"Rodrigo Nascimento","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 20, 2023 Rodrigo Nascimento L -18
Oct 1, 2022 Aleksei Oleinik W +16
Jun 5, 2021 Tanner Boser W +16
Feb 8, 2020 Derrick Lewis L -12
Aug 10, 2019 Volkan Oezdemir L -20

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.80 avg 3.03
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.56 avg 2.72
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 51%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.85 avg 1.32
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
36% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
100% avg 71%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.26 avg 0.30
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
56%
5 / 9
Finish rate
KO
3
33% of wins
SUB
2
22% of wins
DEC
4
44% of wins
KO: 3 (33%) 3 Sub: 2 (22%) 2 Dec: 4 (44%) 4
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
5 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1560
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.9
actual +1 vs expected