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Tuco Tokkos

Active #38 light heavyweight · age 35 · Orthodox · 6'4" 193 cm · 205 lb 93 kg · reach 76" 193 cm
At a glance
Elo rating
1394
Global Elo 1445 ±39
Rank
#38
top 95% of division
UFC record
1-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 0
Streak
-1
Δ90d -33 · Δ1y +4
Last fight
May 16, 2026
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
43m
Avg fight time
10:47
Fights per year
2.0
Ground control
13m
Since last fight
1mo

Honest Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
May 18, 2024 — L vs Oumar Sy Δ-33Dec 14, 2024 — L vs Navajo Stirling Δ-26Jul 12, 2025 — W vs Junior Tafa Δ+37May 16, 2026 — L vs Ivan Erslan Δ-33 136013801400142014401460 20252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":230.8,"elo":1416,"date":"2024-05-18","opp":"Oumar Sy","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":297.7,"y":314.3,"elo":1390,"date":"2024-12-14","opp":"Navajo Stirling","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":2,"x":505.4,"y":194.6,"elo":1427,"date":"2025-07-12","opp":"Junior Tafa","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":3,"x":810,"y":301.2,"elo":1394,"date":"2026-05-16","opp":"Ivan Erslan","result":"L","delta":-33}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 16, 2026 Ivan Erslan L -33
Jul 12, 2025 Junior Tafa W +37
Dec 14, 2024 Navajo Stirling L -26
May 18, 2024 Oumar Sy L -33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
1 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
100% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (100%) 1 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 96 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
67% Head
  • Head 67%
  • Body 11%
  • Leg 22%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
86% Distance
  • Distance 86%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 7%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
33%
of losses by finish
1 of 3
0 KO/TKO 1 Sub 2 Dec Never been KO'd

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1477
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Junior Tafa
Elo 1485 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
2.0
−1.0 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 4 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1424

Top light heavyweight

See full rankings →
Carlos Ulberg C
#1 · Elo 1670
Magomed Ankalaev
#2 · Elo 1654
Azamat Murzakanov
#3 · Elo 1611
Navajo Stirling
#4 · Elo 1604
Paulo Costa
#5 · Elo 1592
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Tuco Tokkos on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.