HonestElo
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Ivan Erslan

Active #44 light heavyweight
Elo rating
1424 ±20
LCB 1398
Rank
#44
top 93% of division
UFC record
0-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -47
Last fight
Sep 27, 2025
L by Submission

Elo history

3 fights · tap & drag
Sep 28, 2024 — L vs Ion Cutelaba Δ-29May 10, 2025 — L vs Navajo Stirling Δ-24Sep 27, 2025 — L vs Jimmy Crute Δ-23 13841415144714791511 2025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":90.8,"elo":1471,"date":"2024-09-28","opp":"Ion Cutelaba","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":548.3,"y":131.3,"elo":1446,"date":"2025-05-10","opp":"Navajo Stirling","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":2,"x":876,"y":169.2,"elo":1424,"date":"2025-09-27","opp":"Jimmy Crute","result":"L","delta":-23}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 27, 2025 Jimmy Crute L -23
May 10, 2025 Navajo Stirling L -24
Sep 28, 2024 Ion Cutelaba L -29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.43 avg 3.66
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
46% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.77 avg 3.38
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.43 avg 0.72
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
20% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
62% avg 75%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1526
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.3
actual -1 vs expected