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Brian Kelleher

Active #69 bantamweight · Switch · 168 cm · reach 168 cm
Elo rating
1498 ±36
LCB 1451
Rank
#69
top 72% of division
UFC record
8-9-0
KO 2 · Sub 3 · Dec 3
Streak
-4
Δ90d +4 · Δ1y +4
Last fight
Jul 20, 2024
L by Submission

Elo history

17 fights · tap & drag
Jun 3, 2017 — W vs Iuri Alcantara Δ+41Jul 22, 2017 — L vs Marlon Vera Δ-33Oct 21, 2017 — W vs Damian Stasiak Δ+33Feb 24, 2018 — W vs Renan Barao Δ+35May 12, 2018 — L vs John Lineker Δ-26Dec 29, 2018 — L vs Montel Jackson Δ-22Jan 18, 2020 — W vs Ode Osbourne Δ+17May 13, 2020 — W vs Hunter Azure Δ+18Jun 6, 2020 — L vs Cody Stamann Δ-14Sep 5, 2020 — W vs Ray Rodriguez Δ+16Feb 13, 2021 — L vs Ricky Simon Δ-16Aug 21, 2021 — W vs Domingo Pilarte Δ+12Jan 15, 2022 — W vs Kevin Croom Δ+12Mar 5, 2022 — L vs Umar Nurmagomedov Δ-20Jun 25, 2022 — L vs Mario Bautista Δ-19Dec 16, 2023 — L vs Cody Garbrandt Δ-15Jul 20, 2024 — L vs Cody Gibson Δ-24 14531494153515751616 201920212023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":121.8,"elo":1541,"date":"2017-06-03","opp":"Iuri Alcantara","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":1,"x":40,"y":165.6,"elo":1507,"date":"2017-07-22","opp":"Marlon Vera","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":2,"x":69.8,"y":122.1,"elo":1541,"date":"2017-10-21","opp":"Damian Stasiak","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":111,"y":76.2,"elo":1576,"date":"2018-02-24","opp":"Renan Barao","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":4,"x":136.2,"y":110.4,"elo":1550,"date":"2018-05-12","opp":"John Lineker","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":5,"x":211.8,"y":139.6,"elo":1527,"date":"2018-12-29","opp":"Montel Jackson","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":6,"x":337.8,"y":117.4,"elo":1544,"date":"2020-01-18","opp":"Ode Osbourne","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":375.7,"y":94.3,"elo":1562,"date":"2020-05-13","opp":"Hunter Azure","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":383.6,"y":113.4,"elo":1547,"date":"2020-06-06","opp":"Cody Stamann","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":9,"x":413.4,"y":92.6,"elo":1563,"date":"2020-09-05","opp":"Ray Rodriguez","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":10,"x":466,"y":113.4,"elo":1547,"date":"2021-02-13","opp":"Ricky Simon","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":11,"x":527.9,"y":97.1,"elo":1560,"date":"2021-08-21","opp":"Domingo Pilarte","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":12,"x":576,"y":81.3,"elo":1572,"date":"2022-01-15","opp":"Kevin Croom","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":13,"x":592,"y":107.9,"elo":1552,"date":"2022-03-05","opp":"Umar Nurmagomedov","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":14,"x":628.6,"y":133.5,"elo":1532,"date":"2022-06-25","opp":"Mario Bautista","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":15,"x":805,"y":152.5,"elo":1517,"date":"2023-12-16","opp":"Cody Garbrandt","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":16,"x":876,"y":183.8,"elo":1493,"date":"2024-07-20","opp":"Cody Gibson","result":"L","delta":-24}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 20, 2024 Cody Gibson L -24
Dec 16, 2023 Cody Garbrandt L -15
Jun 25, 2022 Mario Bautista L -19
Mar 5, 2022 Umar Nurmagomedov L -20
Jan 15, 2022 Kevin Croom W +12

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.76 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
41% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.84 avg 3.04
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.41 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
42% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
60% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.56 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
63%
5 / 8
Finish rate
KO
2
25% of wins
SUB
3
38% of wins
DEC
3
38% of wins
KO: 2 (25%) 2 Sub: 3 (38%) 3 Dec: 3 (38%) 3
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
3 60%
R2
1 20%
R3
1 20%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1510
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
8.7
actual -1 vs expected