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Vinicius Oliveira

Active #22 bantamweight
Elo rating
1595 ±30
LCB 1556
Rank
#22
top 22% of division
UFC record
4-1-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
-1
Δ90d -33 · Δ1y -5
Last fight
Feb 7, 2026
L by Submission

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Mar 2, 2024 — W vs Benardo Sopaj Δ+33Jun 29, 2024 — W vs Ricky Simon Δ+33Feb 1, 2025 — W vs Said Nurmagomedov Δ+34Jul 19, 2025 — W vs Kyler Phillips Δ+29Feb 7, 2026 — L vs Mario Bautista Δ-33 14931537158116251669 20252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":187.7,"elo":1533,"date":"2024-03-02","opp":"Benardo Sopaj","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":167.4,"y":147.5,"elo":1566,"date":"2024-06-29","opp":"Ricky Simon","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":428.9,"y":106.8,"elo":1600,"date":"2025-02-01","opp":"Said Nurmagomedov","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":3,"x":631.4,"y":72.3,"elo":1629,"date":"2025-07-19","opp":"Kyler Phillips","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":112.7,"elo":1595,"date":"2026-02-07","opp":"Mario Bautista","result":"L","delta":-33}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 7, 2026 Mario Bautista L -33
Jul 19, 2025 Kyler Phillips W +29
Feb 1, 2025 Said Nurmagomedov W +34
Jun 29, 2024 Ricky Simon W +33
Mar 2, 2024 Benardo Sopaj W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.49 avg 3.91
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
43% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.70 avg 3.05
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
57% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.50 avg 1.65
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
47% avg 36%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
69% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.21 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
25%
1 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
75% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (75%) 3
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
R3
1 100%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1587
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.4
actual +2 vs expected