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Payton Talbott

Active #17 bantamweight
Elo rating
1609 ±30
LCB 1571
Rank
#17
top 17% of division
UFC record
5-1-0
KO 2 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
+2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +48
Last fight
Dec 6, 2025
W by Decision

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Nov 18, 2023 — W vs Nick Aguirre Δ+30Mar 23, 2024 — W vs Cameron Saaiman Δ+36Jun 29, 2024 — W vs Yanis Ghemmouri Δ+24Jan 18, 2025 — L vs Raoni Barcelos Δ-29Jun 28, 2025 — W vs Felipe Lima Δ+30Dec 6, 2025 — W vs Henry Cejudo Δ+19 14901530157016101649 20242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":182.7,"elo":1530,"date":"2023-11-18","opp":"Nick Aguirre","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":1,"x":167.3,"y":135.4,"elo":1566,"date":"2024-03-23","opp":"Cameron Saaiman","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":2,"x":278.8,"y":102.9,"elo":1590,"date":"2024-06-29","opp":"Yanis Ghemmouri","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":3,"x":509.7,"y":141.9,"elo":1561,"date":"2025-01-18","opp":"Raoni Barcelos","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":4,"x":692.9,"y":102.2,"elo":1591,"date":"2025-06-28","opp":"Felipe Lima","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":77.3,"elo":1609,"date":"2025-12-06","opp":"Henry Cejudo","result":"W","delta":19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 6, 2025 Henry Cejudo W +19
Jun 28, 2025 Felipe Lima W +30
Jan 18, 2025 Raoni Barcelos L -29
Jun 29, 2024 Yanis Ghemmouri W +24
Mar 23, 2024 Cameron Saaiman W +36

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.83 avg 3.89
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
59% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.47 avg 3.06
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
45% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.80 avg 1.67
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
50% avg 36%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
72% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.20 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
60%
3 / 5
Finish rate
KO
2
40% of wins
SUB
1
20% of wins
DEC
2
40% of wins
KO: 2 (40%) 2 Sub: 1 (20%) 1 Dec: 2 (40%) 2
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
1 33%
R2
1 33%
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1567
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.0
actual +2 vs expected