HonestElo
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Saimon Oliveira

Active #95 bantamweight
Elo rating
1383 ±20
LCB 1357
Rank
#95
top 100% of division
UFC record
0-4-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-4
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -58
Last fight
Oct 11, 2025
L by Submission

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Jan 22, 2022 — L vs Tony Gravely Δ-29Jan 21, 2023 — L vs Daniel Marcos Δ-30Mar 29, 2025 — L vs David Martinez Δ-27Oct 11, 2025 — L vs Luan Lacerda Δ-30 13431385142714691511 202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":74.4,"elo":1471,"date":"2022-01-22","opp":"Tony Gravely","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":252.4,"y":112.7,"elo":1441,"date":"2023-01-21","opp":"Daniel Marcos","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":2,"x":753,"y":147.4,"elo":1413,"date":"2025-03-29","opp":"David Martinez","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":185.6,"elo":1383,"date":"2025-10-11","opp":"Luan Lacerda","result":"L","delta":-30}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 11, 2025 Luan Lacerda L -30
Mar 29, 2025 David Martinez L -27
Jan 21, 2023 Daniel Marcos L -30
Jan 22, 2022 Tony Gravely L -29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.15 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
43% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.75 avg 3.04
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
42% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.38 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
14% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
33% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.50 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1486
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.8
actual -2 vs expected