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Merab Dvalishvili

Active #1 bantamweight · Orthodox · 168 cm · reach 173 cm
Elo rating
1719 ±31
LCB 1678
Rank
#1
top 1% of division
UFC record
14-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 12
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +16
Last fight
Dec 6, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

17 fights · tap & drag
Dec 9, 2017 — L vs Frankie Saenz Δ-29Apr 21, 2018 — L vs Ricky Simon Δ-30Sep 15, 2018 — W vs Terrion Ware Δ+27May 4, 2019 — W vs Brad Katona Δ+36Feb 15, 2020 — W vs Casey Kenney Δ+34Jun 13, 2020 — W vs Gustavo Lopez Δ+14Aug 15, 2020 — W vs John Dodson Δ+18May 1, 2021 — W vs Cody Stamann Δ+17Sep 25, 2021 — W vs Marlon Moraes Δ+19Aug 20, 2022 — W vs Jose Aldo Δ+20Mar 11, 2023 — W vs Petr Yan Δ+18Feb 17, 2024 — W vs Henry Cejudo Δ+18Sep 14, 2024 — W vs Sean O'Malley Δ+22Jan 18, 2025 — W vs Umar Nurmagomedov Δ+19Jun 7, 2025 — W vs Sean O'Malley Δ+21Oct 4, 2025 — W vs Cory Sandhagen Δ+18Dec 6, 2025 — L vs Petr Yan Δ-23 14011496159116861782 2019202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":196.8,"elo":1471,"date":"2017-12-09","opp":"Frankie Saenz","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":62.8,"y":213.7,"elo":1441,"date":"2018-04-21","opp":"Ricky Simon","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":2,"x":105.7,"y":198.6,"elo":1468,"date":"2018-09-15","opp":"Terrion Ware","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":173.2,"y":178.4,"elo":1504,"date":"2019-05-04","opp":"Brad Katona","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":4,"x":256.9,"y":159.5,"elo":1538,"date":"2020-02-15","opp":"Casey Kenney","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":5,"x":291.7,"y":151.5,"elo":1553,"date":"2020-06-13","opp":"Gustavo Lopez","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":310,"y":141.6,"elo":1570,"date":"2020-08-15","opp":"John Dodson","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":385.6,"y":132.2,"elo":1587,"date":"2021-05-01","opp":"Cody Stamann","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":428.5,"y":121.5,"elo":1607,"date":"2021-09-25","opp":"Marlon Moraes","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":9,"x":524.6,"y":110.6,"elo":1626,"date":"2022-08-20","opp":"Jose Aldo","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":10,"x":583.8,"y":100.7,"elo":1644,"date":"2023-03-11","opp":"Petr Yan","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":11,"x":683.9,"y":90.8,"elo":1662,"date":"2024-02-17","opp":"Henry Cejudo","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":12,"x":745.2,"y":78.7,"elo":1683,"date":"2024-09-14","opp":"Sean O'Malley","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":13,"x":782,"y":68,"elo":1703,"date":"2025-01-18","opp":"Umar Nurmagomedov","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":14,"x":822.9,"y":56.4,"elo":1723,"date":"2025-06-07","opp":"Sean O'Malley","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":15,"x":857.6,"y":46.3,"elo":1742,"date":"2025-10-04","opp":"Cory Sandhagen","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":16,"x":876,"y":58.9,"elo":1719,"date":"2025-12-06","opp":"Petr Yan","result":"L","delta":-23}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 6, 2025 Petr Yan L -23
Oct 4, 2025 Cory Sandhagen W +18
Jun 7, 2025 Sean O'Malley W +21
Jan 18, 2025 Umar Nurmagomedov W +19
Sep 14, 2024 Sean O'Malley W +22

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.41 avg 3.91
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
42% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.79 avg 3.05
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
5.95 avg 1.50
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
35% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
76% avg 68%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.35 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
14%
2 / 14
Finish rate
KO
1
7% of wins
SUB
1
7% of wins
DEC
12
86% of wins
KO: 1 (7%) Sub: 1 (7%) Dec: 12 (86%) 12
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
R2
1 50%
R3
1 50%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1683
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
8.1
actual +6 vs expected