HonestElo
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Raul Rosas Jr.

Elo rating
1611 ±28
LCB 1575
Rank
#13
top 13% of division
UFC record
6-1-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 · Dec 3
Streak
+5
Δ90d +17 · Δ1y +27
Last fight
Mar 7, 2026
W by Decision

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Dec 10, 2022 — W vs Jay Perrin Δ+28Apr 8, 2023 — L vs Christian Rodriguez Δ-30Sep 16, 2023 — W vs Terrence Mitchell Δ+31Jun 8, 2024 — W vs Ricky Turcios Δ+33Sep 14, 2024 — W vs Aoriqileng Δ+23Mar 29, 2025 — W vs Vince Morales Δ+10Mar 7, 2026 — W vs Rob Font Δ+17 14581506155416031651 2023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":159,"elo":1528,"date":"2022-12-10","opp":"Jay Perrin","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":1,"x":109.7,"y":192.2,"elo":1498,"date":"2023-04-08","opp":"Christian Rodriguez","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":2,"x":225.7,"y":158.4,"elo":1528,"date":"2023-09-16","opp":"Terrence Mitchell","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":417.2,"y":122.8,"elo":1561,"date":"2024-06-08","opp":"Ricky Turcios","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":4,"x":487.8,"y":97.4,"elo":1584,"date":"2024-09-14","opp":"Aoriqileng","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":5,"x":629,"y":86.5,"elo":1594,"date":"2025-03-29","opp":"Vince Morales","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":67.8,"elo":1611,"date":"2026-03-07","opp":"Rob Font","result":"W","delta":17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 7, 2026 Rob Font W +17
Mar 29, 2025 Vince Morales W +10
Sep 14, 2024 Aoriqileng W +23
Jun 8, 2024 Ricky Turcios W +33
Sep 16, 2023 Terrence Mitchell W +31

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.19 avg 4.02
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
41% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.19 avg 3.10
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
6.00 avg 1.49
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
54% avg 36%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
33% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.75 avg 0.35
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
8 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
3 / 6
Finish rate
KO
1
17% of wins
SUB
2
33% of wins
DEC
3
50% of wins
KO: 1 (17%) 1 Sub: 2 (33%) 2 Dec: 3 (50%) 3
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
2 67%
R2
1 33%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1510
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.9
actual +2 vs expected